Week 5 College Football Picks – East Carolina vs. Marshall
October 3, 2009
East Carolina Pirates (-2½) vs. Marshall Thunderbird Herd (+2½)
O/U (47½)
Saturday, October 3 – 12:00 PM ET
The Pirates (2-2 SU, 0-3 ATS, 2-1 O/U) and the Herd (3-1 SU, 2-1 ATS, 1-2 O/U) will both be looking to extend their winning ways when they square off at Joan C. Edwards Stadium on Saturday at 12 PM ET.
Dwayne Harris scored two touchdowns to help East Carolina defeat Central Florida 19-14 in Week 4.
The Pirates failed to cover the spread as 10-point home favorites while the game’s final score played Under the 43-point O/U total.
Marshall recorded a 27-16 win over Memphis in Week 4 as Darius Marshall ran for 203 yards and three touchdowns on 25 carries.
The Herd covered the spread as 3-point road underdogs, while the game’s final score played Under the 49-point O/U total.
Here is a look at tonight’s key trends and college football betting odds, followed by my in-depth analysis and expert NCAAF Free Picks.
- Pirates are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
- Pirates are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Pirates are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Thundering Herd are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog.
- Thundering Herd are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
- Under is 7-1 in Pirates last 8 conference games.
- Under is 8-3 in Thundering Herd last 11 games overall.
NCAAF Odds
- East Carolina -2½ -110
- Marshall +2½ -110
- Over 47½ -110
- Under 47½ -110
Analysis: The Marshall Thundering Herd are the easy pick in this matchup as the East Carolina Pirates have failed to cover the spread in every game this season.
The Pirates have gone a dismal 2-5 ATS in their last seven conference games while also going a pitiful 0-7 ATS in their last seven games as a road favorite and 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall.
The Thundering Herd have won and covered the spread in two consecutive games while going a bankroll-boosting 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog and a solid 5-2 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog.
With the Under going a consistent 7-1 in ECU’s last eight conference games and 8-3 in Marshall’s last 11 games overall, I say play the Under as well as the Thundering Herd to cover the spread with room to spare.
NCAAF Free Picks: Marshall +2½ Points/Under 47½ Total Points




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