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Unbeaten at Dodger Stadium – Arizona at Los Angeles

May 6, 2009

The Los Angeles Dodgers (19-8 SU, 16-11 RL, 13-9-5 O/U) will try to extend their five-game winning streak in the BetOnline Sportsbook when they battle the division rival Arizona Diamondbacks (11- 15 SU, 11-15 RL, 10-14-2 O/U) at Dodger Stadium tonight at 10 PM ET.

Manny Ramirez went 2-for-3 with a home run and three RBI as the Dodgers spanked the Diamondbacks 7-2 on Monday night and help L.A. cash in for BetOnline MLB sports betting backers as -145 home favorites while the final score played over the 8.5-run Over/Under total. Outfielder Andre Ethier went 2-for-4 and added a solo shot for the Dodgers.

Tonight the Diamondbacks will give the ball to right-handed starter Max Scherzer (0-2, 3.48 ERA) as he goes for his first career victory. He struck out a season-high seven in six shutout innings against Milwaukee on Thursday, but didn’t get much help in the team’s 4-1 loss.

The Dodgers will counter with veteran right-hander Jeff Weaver, who’ll make his first start since the end of the 2007 season after spending all of 2008 in the minor leagues.

The right-hander went 7-13 with a 6.20 ERA in 27 outings with Seattle in 2008. Weaver pitched four scoreless innings of relief against San Diego in his season debut Thursday.

Here is a look at tonight’s key trends, followed by my in-depth analysis and MLB Free Pick.

The Diamondbacks are 6-2 in their last 8 games following a loss.

The Diamondbacks are 2-5 in their last 7 games as an underdog.

The Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.

The Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.

The Under is 4-0 in Scherzer’s last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.

The Over is 4-0 in Weaver’s last 4 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150.

The Over is 7-2-2 in the last 11 meetings.

The Diamondbacks are 1-8 in the last 9 meetings.

The Diamondbacks are 0-6 in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles.

MLB Odds

Arizona Diamondbacks +1½ -175

Max Scherzer –R +105

Los Angeles Dodgers -1½ +155

Jeff Weaver –R -125

Over 9 +105

Under 9 -125

Analysis: While I really like Max Scherzer and believe he has a very bright future for the Diamondbacks, I like the Dodgers to win this game at home as Jeff Weaver makes his return to the bigs as a starting pitcher and the Dodgers’ superior batting order gets the job done against the D-Backs and their suspect bullpen.

MLB Free Picks: Dodgers -1½ Runs/Under 9 Total Runs

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