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Sports Book Advice- Kentucky +14 points at Florida is ONLY Play

September 25, 2010

I seem to bring this point up weekly in one of my columns, but the Gators are way overrated by the Sports Book Pointspreads.

They seem to come through with the W often, but they don’t seem to be deserving of so much.

Kentucky has been thinking of nothing else (besides basketball) but whipping up on the Florida Gators and even better if it is in Gainesville. This COULD be that year.

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Kentucky Wildcats (3-0) at Florida Gators (3-0) – Saturday, Sep. 25, 7:00 ET ESPNU

Ben Hill Griffin Stadium at Florida Field (88,548) – Gainesville, Florida

NCAA Sports Book Lines:

Kentucky Wildcats (3-0-0 ATS) +14 (ML +450)

Florida Gators (2-1-0 ATS) -14 (ML -600)

Over Under Game Total 49

Florida has won 23 in a row. Kentucky hasn’t beaten Florida straight up since 1986. Think about how long that is. Now think about the friend that you hate beating you the most. Now think about your enemy (ex-friend) talking smack every year when you get owned by this person.

If you change that person to Florida, then you just became Kentucky and realized the frustration, hate, and extreme desire for a win that the Wildcats yearn for to at least shut the Gators up. This year it is possible.

Kentucky has a powerful balanced offensive attack that has produced over 200 yards rushing and passing each in all 3 games this year. Kentucky’s SOS (strength of schedule) is one of the weakest in the FBS thus far, so it’s hard to say how solid their offensive statistics are.

One thing undisputable is the impressive fact that the Wildcats have ZERO turnovers in three games. Sports Book owners don’t want you to know such details when placing College Football Bets.

Get used to hearing Mike Hartline to Derrick Locke in this game. This is the lethal quarterback to wide receiver combination that could end all Kentucky’s suffering when it’s not basketball season.

The Wildcats have also been impressive defensively allowing 257.7 yards a game. This could be the key as Florida is only averaging 319 yards a game offensively.

It’s not the Gator powerhouse we’re used to seeing. The problem is they seem to come up with those key plays when needed.

Florida’s defense has been the real key to their success. They’re fairly tight giving up 276.7 yards per game, but forcing turnovers is their bag, baby! These burglars have forced 12 turnovers including 10 of them on interceptions.

The Sports Book lines are based very much on outcomes of games and how the public perceives them. The advantage here is that I have weeded through all the statistics and false information to give you a way to beat the number.

Sports Book advice is simple as stated above in many ways; Bet the Kentucky Wildcats +14 points against Florida especially if it goes to 14.5.

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