Slumping Spurs – Golden State at San Antonio

The Golden State Warriors (25-45 SU, 32-34-3 ATS, 37-32 O/U) have alternated wins and losses in each of their last six games, losing to the New Orleans Hornets 99-89 as an 8.5-point road underdog on Sunday.

Veteran swingman Stephen Jackson led Golden State with 22 points and 10 rebounds while the combined score checked in UNDER the posted over/under total (216).

The San Antonio Spurs (45-24 SU, 34-33-2 ATS, 31-37-1 O/U) are coming off a heartbreaking 87-85 loss to the Houston Rockets as a 3-point home favorite on Sunday.

All-star power forward Tim Duncan led the Spurs with 23 points while veteran point guard Tony Parker added a double-double with 22 points and 12 assists as the combined score played Under the posted over/under total (177.5).

Here is a look at tonight’s key trends, followed by my in-depth analysis and NBA Free Picks.

The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Golden State’s last 11 games on the road

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Golden State’s last 8 games

Golden State is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games

The total has gone OVER in 7 of Golden State’s last 10 games when playing San Antonio

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio’s last 5 games

San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State

San Antonio is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Golden State

San Antonio is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games when playing Golden State

NBA Odds

Golden State Warriors +8½ -110

San Antonio Spurs -8½ -110

Over 207½ -110

Under 207½ -110

Analysis: Prior to their last meeting turning out to be a push, the Spurs had covered the spread in two straight against Golden State. Still, I don’t trust them very much these days and fully believe the high-scoring Warriors are going to cover the spread in this contest with their usual all-out offensive assault.

I also like the Over in a big way as it has played in three of the last four meetings and eight of 10 overall.

NBA Free Picks: Warriors +8½ Points/Over 207 Total Points