SEC College Football Odds Buster – No.12 Arkansas vs. No.7 Auburn

When it comes to betting the college football odds in the SEC, it doesn’t get much better than this.

The No. 7 Auburn Tigers host the No. 12 Arkansas Razorbacks with their best shots of getting a crack at a national title. It’s no secret that the SEC is a heavily considered division when it comes to the BCS, largely because of the strength of schedule for all teams involved.

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As they stand slightly ahead of Alabama and LSU, the Tigers will have their hands full this weekend.

That’s why the sterling play of quarterback Cameron Newton, who has soared in to Heisman contention this year, is such a huge part of this game. Newton has thrown for 1,138 yards and 12 scores while piling up 672 yards on the ground rushing along with an extra 9 scores.

In a word, Newton’s a “gamebreaker” and has incredible talents rushing the ball despite being 6-foot-6 and 250 pounds.

Newton’s unreal play has been at the forefront of Auburn’s terrifyingly close games. They overcome a big deficit last weekend against Kentucky to win 37-34, which made it the third three-point win of their season and their third loss to the college football odds this season.

As you can guess, that’s made for an obnoxious 3-3 ATS record which means they’re about where the oddsmakers expect them to be.

The dryness of betting trends often fails to acknowledge how a team responds to pressure. For example, Auburn is 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games against the Razorbacks, but are just 1-5 ATS and 2-4 SU in their past 6 games when hosting Arkansas at home. Still, it’s hard to bet against Auburn with such a tight number and Cameron Newton’s flat out skill at winning games.

#12 Arkansas Razorbacks (4-1) vs. #7 Auburn Tigers (6-0)

Saturday, October 16th — Jordan-Hare Stadium — 3:30pm EST

College Football Odds: Auburn -4.0 (60)

Those choosing to take the college football odds on Arkansas might want to tread lightly. The Razorbacks are just 3-7 SU in their last 10 road games, and a glaring loss to the Alabama Crimson Tide spoiled both their BCS candidacy and the Heisman hopes of Ryan Mallet.

Even still, it’s hard to get your head around Mallet’s 1,748 passing yards. He’s also posted 13 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, but was awfully mistake prone against the Crimson Tide. Three of his interceptions came in that game.

Turnovers are going to be the biggest difference maker in this game’s college football odds. Auburn is exceptional at generating second chances, posting 13 turnovers in their six games. In fact, they have at least 1 interception in their last 5 games.

Newton, for all his glitz and glamour, is generally very careful with the football. His huge frame allows him to protect the football so if he breaks out on a run, I wouldn’t expect any fumbles. In fact, he’s had zero fumbles in his career.

There’s about a billion other things I could talk about in this game, but the quarterbacks are the central piece of both puzzles. Arkansas will derail their own chances of upsetting the Tigers with picks from Mallet, and the Tigers will takeover with an offense that generates 36.7 points per game.

Arkansas may be able to chase in the first half, but after Auburn’s defense makes the necessary adjustments, Newton will run away with this game.

The Auburn Tigers are a wild team right now, and all their hopes are hinging on this game. Winning close games teaches teams how to be tenacious in the face of danger, and the betting number creeping low to the ground is a God send in my opinion.

If this was a higher spread, I’d be less inclined to play Auburn. With a -4.0 spread, I’m banking on Auburn’s college football odds this weekend against Arkansas. This team is simply too dialed in.

Furious College Football Odds Buster: Auburn -4.0 (UNDER)