Saturday Pony Picks – Hollywood Park Pick 3

Saturday’s Top Pick 3 Wager Ends With the Cash Call Futurity

Race-day: 12/19/2009

1st Leg: 6:35 pm EST

Hitting any exotic wager in horse race betting is never an easy thing to do. In a game where getting 3 to 1 odds usually constitutes as “bad” adds, adding any sort of element that changes your chances of making profits can lead to losing a lot of money.

It can also lead to massive scores depending on how it plays out. So, betting the Pick 3, although a huge gamble by its very nature, is also a good way to make a lot of money.

Let’s take a look at a more expensive than usual Pick 3 for this Saturday. If it hits, however, expect major profits to come to the horseplayers gutsy enough to play it. The Pick 3 below is based on beating the favorite in each leg.

Hollywood Park Pick 3

All numbers are post positions

Race 7 – $36,000 Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs cushion track

Horses To Use: 1-Dontsellmetofelons, 3-Fyvio, 4-Cape Finisterre, 6-Exfusion, 7-Street Haven, 8-Clutch Player

Analysis: Exfusion is going to be a huge, huge favorite. Beat him in this Pick 3 sequence and the dollars could come rolling in! Of course, that’s easier said than done. However, Dontsellmetofelons is trained by Jeff Mullins. Fyvio is going into his second lifetime race and his trainer, Richard Rosales, is winning at a 40% clip at the meet. Cape Finisterre is trained by the underrated Peter Eurton. Street Haven comes out of Street Cry. We all know how great that sire is. Finally, Clutch Player comes out of Malibu Moon and runs for the incomparable Bob Baffert. Can any of these guys beat Exfusion? Who knows, but it’s worth it to take a shot!

Race 8 – State-Bred $25,000 Optional Claiming, 6 furlongs turf

Horses To Use: 6-Itssultryinthecape, 8-Adam Suances, 10-Trail Mix, 11-Amazombie

Analysis: This is a terrific betting race. So, don’t forget to check out the horse matchups in the online racebook. Okay, what’s with the terrifically, long odd names? There’s Dontsellmetofelons in Race 7 and now there’s Itsultryinthecape in Race 8! Anyhow, Itsultrynthecape is coming off of a maiden victory at this distance on this turf course and figures to improve. He also busted a fantastic work on Dec. 9th. Adam Suances is coming off of a layoff, has been working well, and finished second on the turf going 1 mile at Del Mar. Trail Mix is dropping into the claiming ranks after almost winning a turf race at this distance in an allowance. Mix only has 1 victory on the turf but has racked up a ton of second place finishes. Amazombie has 2 seconds and a 3rd out of 4 lifetime races on the turf.

Race 9 – $750,000 Grade I Cash Call Futurity, 1 1/16th miles on the cushion track

Horses To Use: 1-Lookin’ At Lucky, 4-Marcello, 6-Noble’s Promise

Analysis: Lookin’ At Lucky was unlucky to lose the BC Juvenile in his last. He broke from the 13th hole and managed to rally all the way to second. He lost by a head to a Godolphin long shot and merits favoritism in this. Marcello could improve big time switching from turf, he finished 2nd in the Grade III Generous Stakes in his last, to this. He’s a good horse that could surprise. Noble’s Promise finished 3rd in the BC Juvenile behind Lookin’ At Lucky. His tractability, he can rate off of the pace or run on the lead, should serve him well in this small field.

Combinations: 5 x 4 x 3 = $60

$1 Pick 3 = $60

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