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Sacramento Queens at Houston Rockets – Cover Anyone?

February 11, 2009

Yao, Disappointing Rockets, Host K-Mart, Pitiful Kings

The Sacramento Kings (11-42 SU, 23-30 ATS, 28-25 O/U) have lost four consecutive games and a whopping 11 of its last 12 overall. The Houston Rockets (31-21 SU, 23-28-1 ATS, 28-24 O/U) have dropped two of its last three and are also coming into tonight’s matchup off a loss their last time out.

Tonight, both teams will be trying to pick up a win in the BetOnline Sportsbook tonight when they battle at the Toyota Center.

Shooting guard Kevin Martin scored a team-high 18 points to lead Sacramento in its 118-100 loss to Dallas on Tuesday night as the Kings were outscored in three of the game’s four quarters.

The Kings failed to cash in as a 12-point road underdog as the teams played over the 213-point O/U total.

Blossoming combo guard Aaron Brooks scored a team-high 23 points off the bench for Houston in its 124-112 loss to Milwaukee on Monday night as the rockets failed to cover the spread as 6-point road favorites in the BetOnline Sportsbook while the game played over the 196.5-point O/U total.

Here is a look at the key trends for each team, followed by my in-depth analysis and NBA Free Picks.

Sacramento is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston

Sacramento is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston

The total has gone OVER in 16 of Sacramento’s last 24 games when playing Houston

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento’s last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston

Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Sacramento

Houston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Sacramento

The total has gone OVER in 16 of Houston’s last 24 games when playing Sacramento

NBA Odds

Sacramento Kings +14 -110

Houston Rockets -14 -110

Over 213 -110

Under 213 -110

Analysis: I’ll keep this pick short and sweet by saying that, as atrocious as the Kings are, the Rockets have just one double-digit win over Sacramento in their last 10 meetings. With Houston underachieving as much as any team in the league this season, I say the Kings cover the spread easily as they can score the ball with almost any team in the league. I also like the Under in a big way as these two teams have combined to surpass tonight’s 218-point O/U total just twice in their last ten meetings.

NBA Free Picks: Sacramento +14 Points/Under 213 Total Points

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