Preakness Stakes Betting – Tips for Betting on the Race
May 15, 2010
BetOnline Sportsbook knows that betting on horse racing isn’t always the easiest thing to do, especially for those that don’t do it on a regular basis.
So today, we’re going to discuss three things that you need to remember before placing your Preakness Stakes betting wagers on Saturday!
Tip #1 – Lookin At Lucky is Underrated/Super Saver is Overrated: Remember something very, very important. The Kentucky Derby winner is almost always the same horse that goes off as the favorite to win the Preakness Stakes.
What does this tell you about Super Saver and Lookin At Lucky? The two horses are nearly identical at this point in their odds, and both could go off the board somewhere between 3/2 and 5/2. Had Lookin At Lucky won the Kentucky Derby, he’d be an betting odds on favorite to win the second leg of the Triple Crown. Super Saver might not even be running in the race, and if he was, he’d certainly be no better than 5-1 to win it.
Tip #2 – Be very aware of post positions: At the Kentucky Derby, starting on the rail was the worst thing that ever could’ve happened to Lookin At Lucky. There were 19 horses to his outside that were all trying to crunch down on his position prior to the first turn.
Inevitably, he bumped with someone to his outside and found himself squeezed back to 18th position in a hurry. At Pimlico, the further inside you are the better. The first turn comes up rather quickly, and what happens is that the speed of the race really tries to burst out as quickly as possible, while everyone else merely tries to hold position.
Plus, at the Preakness Stakes, there will only be 11 horses to the outside of #1 Aikenite as opposed to 19.
Don’t be overly shocked to see the difference at the end of this race by a nose or so and to have that difference be the starting positions.
Tip #3 – Horses that didn’t run in the Kentucky Derby didn’t run in the Kentucky Derby for a reason: This was already an incredibly weak crop of three year old horses this year, especially with Eskendereya not racing in any of the Triple Crown runs.
This wasn’t a matter of horses being slightly injured or trainers not wanting to run their prized three year olds up against some of the best in the business. They just weren’t good enough for one reason or another. Save for possibly #11 First Dude, it doesn’t seem like any of the other non-Derby contenders really have a shot in this race.
It may seem as though this is a bit of a conflict with Tip #2, as almost all of these horses are starting right there on the rail, but when push comes to shove, we’re fairly confident that all of these colts are folding up shop.
The further inside your horse is, the better. (We’re looking at you, Lookin At Lucky, as you’re the only real threat on the inside to win this race in my opinion!)
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