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On the Bubble – (25) Florida State at Boston College

February 25, 2009

The Florida State Seminoles (21-6 SU, 14-6-1 ATS, 9-12 O/U) have won and covered the spread in two consecutive games in the BetOnline Sportsbook.

The Boston College Eagles (19-9 SU, 12-11 ATS, 15-7-1 O/U) have dropped three of its last four games while failing to cover the spread in each loss, to put them ‘on the bubble’ as far as their NCAA Tournament hopes are concerned.

Florida State built up a 10 point halftime lead and held on late to defeat Virginia Tech 67-65 on Saturday. The Seminoles covered the spread as a 2.5-point underdog while the 132 combined points played UNDER the night’s posted O/U total of 134 points.

Senior point guard Toney Douglas led Florida State with 22 points while freshman guard Derwin Kitchen added 19 points.

Boston College was led by junior forward Joe Trapani, who scored a team-high 17 points in the team’s 69-58 loss to Miami on Saturday afternoon. The Eagles failed to cover the spread as a 6.5-point road underdog while the final score played UNDER the day’s posted total of 146.

Here is a look at the key NCAAB betting trends for each team, followed by my in-depth analysis and NCAA college basketball Free Picks:

Florida State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road

Florida State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Florida State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Florida State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston College’s last 5 games

Boston College is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games at home

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston College’s last 7 games at home

Boston College is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games

NCAAB Odds

Florida State +2½ -110

Boston College -2½ -110

Analysis: These two teams are so evenly matched I think this pick simply boils down to which team is playing at home.

The Boston College Eagles are likely in ‘desperation mode’ as they make a late-season push to improve their record enough to earn an NCAA Tournament berth.

Take the Eagles to fly high in covering the spread in an absolute thriller tonight college hoops bettors.

NCAAB Free Picks: Boston college -2½ Points

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