Oak Tree Picks – Huge Horse Racing Odds

Trying to beat Zenyatta might sound like a ridiculously stupid thing to do, but it’s also the way to cash out on a Pick 4 at huge horse racing odds this Saturday at Oak Tree at Hollywood Park.

I don’t believe that beating Zenyatta will allow someone to “scoop” the pool.  There will be more than one, maybe more than one-hundred, tickets out there trying to beat the John Shireff’s trained superstar mare, but taking her down is the way to go in order to cash the biggest possible Pick 4 ticket on Saturday.

Of course, my cajones aren’t big enough for me to drop the 18 and 0 mare from my ticket altogether.  I’m not insane, a bit crazy on the Heisenberg (Breaking Bad) level maybe, but not insane on the Dexter or Arvin Sloane (Alias) level.  

Oak Tree at Hollywood Park Pick 4 – October 2nd

Belmont Park – Races 7 thru 10
Where:  Inglewood, CA
When:  Race 7 (Leg 1) – 7:15 pm EST
             Race 8 (Leg 2) – 7:50 pm EST
             Race 9 (Leg 3) – 8:20 pm EST
             Race 10 (Leg 3) – 8:50 pm EST
TV:  TVG

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Race 7 (Leg 1)

Lady’s Secret Stakes (Grade I)

Purse $250,000. (Includes $25,000 – BC – Breeders’ Cup). For Fillies And Mares, Three-Years-Old And Upward. One And One Sixteenth Miles.

1 1/16th miles over all-weather cushion track

Horses Used: pp.1-Switch, pp.5-Zenyatta, pp.6-Emmy Darling

Analysis:  Zenyatta should definitely win this race and I doubt she loses but just in case I’m going to use Switch who won the Grade II Hollywood Oaks over this surface back in June over top-rated three-year-old Blind Luck.  I’m also going to use Emmy Darling who goes to trainer Doug O’Neil for the first time and picks up jockey Patrick Valenzuela.  Again, Zenyatta should win, but just in case, I’ll throw in 2 other horses.

Race 8 (Leg 2)

Yellow Ribbon Stakes (Grade I)

Purse $250,000. For Fillies And Mares, Three-Years-Old And Upward.

1 1/4th miles over turf

Horses Used: pp.3-Gypsy’s Warning, pp.9-Hibaayeb
 
Analysis:  Gypsy’s Warning is the class of this field and shouldn’t lose this race. She’s almost a single in my mind after finishing 3rd in the Beverly D. against much better.  The Grade I winner from South Africa should relish the turf at Hollywood Park.  Hibaayeb runs for the powerful Godolphin barn.  She wouldn’t be in this unless trainer Saeed Bin Suroor though she could win it.  She too is incredibly classy having won a Grade I race at Ascot last September.

Race 9 (Leg 3)

Goodwood Stakes (Grade I)

Purse $250,000. (Includes $25,000 – BC – Breeders’ Cup). For Three-Year-Olds And Upward.

1 1/8th miles over all-weather cushion track

Horses Used: pp.2-Crown Of Thorns, pp.5-Twirling Candy

Analysis:  Crown Of Thorns tries 2 turns for the first time.  Based on his breeding, sired by Repent out of a Touch Gold mare, he should absolutely love the stretch-out.  He’s hit the board in 6 out of his 7 races including finishing 2nd in 3 straight Grade I events.  He’s obviously talented enough to win the Goodwood on Saturday.  Twirling Candy is one of the best three-year-olds in the country.  He’s undefeated in 4 races and has won 2 of those over an all-weather surface and 2 of those over turf.  He could probably run over glass and get in the money.  Twirling Candy’s jockey, Mike Smith, could win the Lady’s Secret/Goodwood double if he brings Zenyatta home in the 7th.

Race 10 (Leg 4)

Claiming $32,000 – $28,000

Purse $26,000. For Three-Year-Olds And Upward.

1 1/16th miles over turf

Horses Used: pp.1-Yvett’s Pride, pp.4-Mr. Katz, pp.6-Yodelen Dan, pp.7-When We Met, pp.9-Knockout Artist

Analysis:  The horse racing odds should be fair on all of the horses I use for the final leg of Saturday’s Pick 4.  Yvett’s Pride goes first time for trainer Marcelo Polanco, has 2 second place finishes out of 2 races over Hollywood’s turf, and should save a ton of ground after breaking from the rail.  Mr. Katz chased home likely chalk Silent Soul in his last only to finish 3rd.  He should be in the garden spot in this race and has a victory and a second place finish out of 3 races at the distance.  Yodelen Dan should be able to close into a super quick pace and keeps the brilliant P.Val to ride. When We Met goes first time for trainer Mike Mitchell.  Mitchell first after the claim horses are almost always a must use on my Pick 4 tickets.  The man wins 30% after the claim.  Knockout Artist should keep Mr. Katz company in the garden spot while the speed horses run each other into the ground.     
 
3 x 2 x 2 x 5  = 60 combinations

$1 Pick 4 = $60

Good luck!

The Lady’s Secret featuring Zenyatta goes off as the first leg of Saturday’s Pick 4 at Oak Tree at Hollywood Park! 

Log onto the racebook and bet a Pick 4 ticket at huge horse racing odds.

Sources:  brisnet.com, equibase.com, drf.com