Nuggets at Mavericks – Can Denver Complete the Sweep?
May 11, 2009
Billups, Focused Nuggets, Look to Complete Sweep Of Nowitzki, Mavericks In Game 4
The Denver Nuggets (61-29 SU, 52-37-1 ATS, 46-44 O/U) will be looking to finish off the Dallas Mavericks (54-36 SU, 44-46 ATS, 44-46 O/U) when they square off against their Western Conference counterparts in the BetOnline Sportsbook tonight at American Airlines Center at 9:30 PM ET.
The Nuggets took a 3-0 lead in the Western Conference semifinal on Saturday as high-scoring forward Carmelo Anthony hit a three with one second remaining to give the Nuggets a 106-105 win over the Mavericks.
Denver covered the spread for BetOnline NBA sports betting backers everywhere as 3.5-point road underdogs while the final score played just Over the 209.5-point O/U total.
All-star forward Dirk Nowitzki led Dallas with 33 points and 16 rebounds.
Here is a look at tonight’s key betting trends, followed by my in-depth analysis and NBA Free Picks.
- The Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Monday games.
- The Nuggets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
- The Mavericks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games.
- The Mavericks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 0.5-4.5.
- The Under is 7-1 in Nuggets last 8 playoff games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5.
- The Over is 4-0 in Mavericks last 4 games as a home favorite of 0.5-4.5.
- The Nuggets are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Dallas.
- The Nuggets are 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
- The Under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Dallas.
- The Underdog is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
NBA Odds:
- Denver Nuggets +2 -110
- Dallas Mavericks -2 -110
- Over 211 -110
- Under 211 -110
Analysis: While I have questioned he Mavericks’ heart all season long, I have to admit they were seriously robbed in Game 3 with no foul being called on Anthony’s game-winning shot.
I like a ticked off Mavericks team to cover the spread with a narrow home win tonight before likely having their season ended by the Nuggets in Game 5.
Take Dirk and Jason Terry to lead the Mavs to a win and cover tonight.
NBA Free Picks: Mavericks -2 Points/Under 211 Total Points




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