NL Powerhouses – New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinals

April 22, 2009 by admin
Filed under: MLB Baseball Betting 

The Mets kick off a three game series versus the St. Louis Cardinals on Tuesday night. New York has been no better than .500 at 6 and 6 this season. Against the run line, the Mets are 3 and 9 for -587 units. ATS, New York’s 6 and 6 record has been good for -209 units.

The Mets are in stark contrast to the St. Louis Cardinals. The Cardinals are one of the top teams in the MLB Power Rankings because they have made money for online gamblers. The Cardinals have gone 8 and 5 against the spread for +149 units and 7 and 6 on the run line for +256 units. St. Louis is a serious player in the N.L. this year.

Here is the BetUS betting line for this game.

New York Mets

Oliver Perez – L +1 ½ -220 -110 O 9 -120

St. Louis Cardinals

Todd Wellemeyer-R -1 ½ +180 -110 U 9 Ev

Here are a few online wagering trends for this game.

The New York Mets are 4 and 1 in Oliver Perez’s last 5 games.

The New York Mets are 19 and 7 in their last 26 games as the underdog.

The St. Louis Cardinals are 4 and 9 in Todd Wellemeyer’s last 13 starts at home.

The St. Louis Cardinals are 4 and 1 in their last 5 games as the favorite.

Neither pitcher has been sensational yet this season. Perez has a 7.84 ERA in 10 innings pitched. Wellemeyer has an ERA of 4.50 ERA but a .404 OBP. Perez’s OPB is only .341.

So, which pitcher has the upper hand in this game? Neither. The problem with making a wager on the run line is that neither pitcher deserves the odds being offered.

The Cardinals are definitely good enough to win this game by 2 runs, but Wellemeyer is going to have to get into the middle of the 5th inning. That might not happen.

I prefer to go with the hot team on the money line when both teams appear ready to play well. The Mets are on the road in this game. To me its a big deal because both teams are going off at -110 to win straight-up.

I just believe that the Cardinals are doing well right now while the Mets are still trying to figure things out. I’ll take the Cardinals to protect their home and win this game at -110 in the sportsbook.

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