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NFL Spread Betting – Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions

December 5, 2010

NFL spread betting in Week 13 features an NFC North matchup between the Chicago Bears and Detroit Lions. The Bears are a surprising 8-3, while the Lions are floundering at 2-9.

Sunday, December 5 @ 1pm EST on CBS

NFL Odds: Chicago Bears (-3.5) vs. Detroit Lions (+3.5)
Total: 44.5

Since Jahvid Best’s injury trouble, the Lions haven’t been able to get it done on the ground. Detroit only averages 84.9 yards/game on the ground this season – which is a brutal 28 th overall.  Chicago continues to have a dominant rushing defense – giving up a stingy 80 yards/game on the year. If Detroit wants to get the home win or cover, they’ll need to do it through the air.

The bright spot in Detroit’s offense is their long throwing game. On the strength of Calvin Johnson and Shaun Hill, the Lions are 6 th in the league in passing – good for 257.8 yards/game. Obviously the Lions have been behind in a lot of contests, which increases their chances to throw throughout games.

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Detroit’s other strength this season has been on the ATS board. The Lions are 7-4 ATS this season – including a torrential 7-1 start to the season. If you did the math there, you’ll realize that they Lions are on a 3 game ATS (and SU) skid.

In the first meeting this year, the Bears won at home 19-14 – the Lions covered the 6.5-point spread. Chicago dominated all facets of the game with 463 total yards (101 rushing and 362 through the air). Matt Forte was a receiving star and the Bears handily won. These divisional matchups usually play tight – and the underdog has covered 7 times in the last 11 meetings. However, the Bears are improving and the Lions are on a slide.

Detroit’s only two wins this season came at home, but Chicago is 3-1 on the road. Chicago has won 4 straight games (with 3 straight covers, 1 push). The edge in recent play goes to Jay Cutler and the Bears. Cutler has 16 TDs to 10 INTs on the season, which is a marked improvement over last season.

NFL Spread Betting Free Pick: Take the Bears and give the 3.5 points on the road. The difference in this game will be the running defense of the Bears. They are a legit team and one of the strongest in the NFC – 3.5 points against the Lions is well within their reach.

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