NFL Sports Book Pick – Take the Jaguars over the Bills in Week 5

What do you get when one of the worst teams in the league hosts a squad that just took down a Super Bowl front-runner? A pick’em at our NFL sports book. Here is why you should take the Jacksonville Jaguars this Sunday in one of the easiest bets of Week 5.

Jacksonville at Buffalo

Sunday, October 10 at 1pm EST on CBS

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NFL Sports Book Odds:

Jacksonville Jaguars (pk) vs. Buffalo Bills (pk)
Total: 41

Issues in Buffalo

The Buffalo Bills have been a model for inconsistency in the league. They’re 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS (which has a 14-point spread against New England).

The Bills are dead last in passing yards for and rushing yards against. After dropping Trent Edwards, they put Ryan Fitzpatrick under center and though they’ve seen some improvements, they’re still dismal with the ball.

In another move this week, the Bills traded former bright spot Marshawn Lynch to the Seattle Seahawks for a 4th round pick. This leaves CJ Spiller and Fred Jackson running the ball in Buffalo – neither of whom has been spectacular. Ryan Fitzpatrick ranks above both of them in rushing yards.

This season, Buffalo has given up 15, 34, 38 and 38 points – it just keeps getting bigger and bigger.

Support for Jacksonville

The Jaguars are coming off a massive win against Indianapolis last week, beating the Colts in exciting last minute fashion off a 59-yarder from Josh Scobee.

While some handicappers may be looking for a let down game from Jacksonville on the road, it looks like they are poised to carry that momentum into Buffalo to dominate the hapless Bills.

Look for Maurice Jones Drew to have a big game, on small passes from David Garrard. The Bills are last against the run, and MJD earned over 100 yards on the ground against the Colts last week. His slow start appears to be over – he’s a great play for sportsbook bettors and NFL fantasy players.

The Jags have even signed Buffalo castaway Trent Edwards. Don’t expect him to take the field on Sunday, but he could offer even more insight into the Buffalo offense and game-planning strategies.

The total for this game is 41 points, and as we saw from Jacksonville’s wins against Denver and Indy, they can sure put points on the board. A potentially explosive offense and a poor defense make me want to look at the OVER as well. It’s not as much of a lock as the spread is, but it’s worth a second look.

Why is this spread so close? I think it’s got something to do with the Jags terrible ATS record in their last 16 games (4-12); however, this is a game they won’t lose.

You won’t get many spreads against Buffalo that are this close this season, so take advantage and bet hard against this betting line before it moves.