NFL Sports Betting Picks – Kansas Getting Great Number Against Colts

I’m actually a little stunned that the sports betting line between the Colts and Chiefs isn’t coming down a bit. Not only have the Chiefs proven to be far better than we thought, the Indianapolis Colts look way worse than we could’ve imagined. The line of +/- 7.5 on this game is going up, which has me scratching my head a little.

I’m not just biting in to the Chiefs surreal, undefeated season thus far. They’ve had a whole two weeks to prepare for this sports betting matchup since they rested on a BYE week. There’s no team that’s been more of a problem starter for Kansas than Peyton Manning’s Colts, who have ousted the Chiefs from the playoffs in their past two appearances.

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Given that Indianapolis has routinely been a wrecking ball of suffering for Kansas, you’d think that they’d enter this contest with a vigorous sense of purpose, right? Kansas isn’t just 1-9 SU in their past 10 games when playing against Manning. They’re also 1-4 SU on the road in Indianapolis.

The Colts have been anything but impressive on the defensive side of the ball, which kills their value in sports betting. They may give up just 217.5 yards through the air, but they’re getting steamrolled on the ground for 149.5 yards per game. And guess what the Chiefs have been abnormally good at this season?

Kansas City Chiefs (3-0) vs. Indianapolis Colts (2-2)

Sunday, October 10th — Lucas Oil Stadium — 1:00pm EST

NFL Sports Betting Line: Indianapolis -7.5 (45)

Kansas ranks third overall in the NFL with a classic “bam and boom” attack powered by the 4.2 yards per carry of Thomas Jones and the explosive playmaking of third-down back Jamaal Charles. They also score efficiently on special teams and Eric Berry is single handedly changing their defense from the safety position.

Which is a huge concern for Peyton Manning and Jim Caldwell. Not only are the Colts dishearteningly vulnerable on the scoreboard, ranking 23rd with 23.0 points allowed per game this season, they’re without their two starting safeties. Melvin Bullitt joined Bob Sanders on the injured reserve this week.

The Chiefs also have a pretty strong rush defense, giving up just 75.0 yards per game, and we all know that the Colts lack a reliable game breaker. I have way more confidence in the Chiefs scoring with a balanced attack than I do in Peyton Manning single handedly muscling his way to victory.

That being said, we still don’t know a lot about this Indianapolis team. They’ve had the unfortunate sports betting fortune of playing three road games already and their only home stand was against the New York Giants who are as schizophrenic as they come.

I know that putting stock in Kansas’s only road game against Cleveland is a lot to ask of the sports betting public, but the Browns are proving to be strong team this year especially after they claimed victory against the Bengals. Kansas won that game by grinding out a 16-14 win.

What this game eventually comes down to is that BYE week for Kansas. Not only has the return of Charlie Weiss and Romeo Crennel to their rightful positions as coordinators give this team a hidden boost, no two assistants in this league are more familiar with the Colts, and Manning especially.

The sports betting trends are heavily in Indianapolis’s favor, especially since they’re 16-2 SU at home. But I’m not suggesting that Kansas wins this game outright. Frankly, even I would be shocked if they managed that feat. Covering this sports betting number, however, is well within reach, especially when you review all the x-factors leading up to this matchup.

Furious Sports Betting Pick – Kansas City +7.5 (OVER)

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