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NFL Prop Odds – Is It the Niners By Default in the NFC West?

September 9, 2010

Customers betting the NFL prop odds are looking at the NFC West as something of a wasteland, and it looks to many like the San Francisco Forty-Niners may be the winner by default in the division. Is that the case? Mike Singletary might have the most solid all-around team at his disposal, and we say that knowing that the Arizona Cardinals are just a year removed from going to the Super Bowl. The Niners are listed as the -125 favorite in the NFL prop odds to win the NFC West.

NFL Prop Odds

To Win NFC West

  • Arizona Cardinals        +250
  • San Francisco 49ers     -125
  • Seattle Seahawks         +275
  • St Louis Rams             +2000

I’m wondering if this is a situation where the San Francisco 49ers (-125 in the NFL prop odds to win this division) comes out on top by default. Certainly the Cardinals don’t have any kind of claim in this grouping after the retirement of Kurt Warner, and there is no evidence that Pete Carroll has a magic pill for the Seahawks. When it comes down to it, the Niners have the best fundamentals, the best defense and the best running game. When you look at Derek Anderson, the Matt Hasselbeck/Charlie Whitehurst combo and Sam Bradford, they might also have the most stable quarterback situation as well, with Alex Smith.

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I’ve maintained my doubts about Mike Singletary, but I am happy to welcome the possibility that may have been wrong. He does have this team thinking and playing with more intensity than when he got there, and if these guys can come with a consistent offensive philosophy, they may be able to run the table in the division. They had Mike Martz for a season, then were playing around with some different stuff last year. They may want to take the same track the Jets took last year – running the ball down the throats of other teams, playing good, solid defense, and taking a bad-ass posture. They may be the favorite in the NFL prop odds, but they should take an upstart’s attitude into every game.

The Arizona Cardinals, who are +250 in the NFL prop odds for the NFC West, seemed to have some quarterback plans that went awry when Matt Leinart turned out to be a stiff for them. Derek Anderson is probably a better fit for their offense, but then again, I have said that plenty before. It’s not that I think they’re going to have any great success with him at the helm, but at least he has been to a Pro Bowl sometime in recent memory. Without Anquan Boldin, there is some retooling of the wide receiver spot. Beanie Wells had better become a bigger part of this offense. He’s got the ability to do so, and Ken Whisenhunt would certainly like to be a team that has a great foundation in the running game, but Wells has had some problems with his knee, and the team hopes that doesn’t escalate as he starts to play in regular season games.

I don’t know quite what to say about the Seattle Seahawks, where new coach Pete Carroll has sent a message to Matt Hasselbeck by trading for Charlie Whitehurst. There is some transition in the offensive line after the retirement of Walter Jones (first-round draftee Russell Okung will replace him). There is another retirement that has left a hole, that of defensive end Patrick Kerney, and this team needs to generate a real live pass rush in order to support a secondary that isn’t really very good. However, in this division, where Seattle is +275 in the NFL prop odds, the ‘Hawks might make a move if Hasselbeck is healthy, and the immensely talented wide receiver Golden Tate turns out to be a legitimate playmaker.

NFL prop odds tell us that the St. Louis Rams are a +2000 shot to win the division, but the reality might be a lot farther away than that. This will be a year where Sam Bradford finds out how difficult life can be in the NFL, and he is going to be moving around a bit because the offensive line will make it so. Donnie Avery, the top receiver, is gone for the year, and the Torry Holt and Isaac Bruce who prowled the Edward Jones Dome for years are a distant memory. All in all, for value in these NFL prop odds, it could very well reside in the hands of the favorites.

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