NFL Playoff Odds – Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears Prop Bets

The Green Bay Packers and Chicago Bears are going to duke it out for the third and final time this season, and the prize in this one couldn’t be any bigger.

One of these teams will punch their ticket to Super Bowl XLV betting, and we have the NFL playoff odds breakdown with one of the best props for this NFC North showdown!

Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears

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Game Date/Time: Sunday, January 23rd, 3:00 ET

Game Location: Soldier Field, Chicago, IL

TV/Radio Broadcast: Fox, Westwood One, Sirius

NFL Odds

Green Bay Packers (-3,5) -115

Chicago Bears (+3.5) -105

Over/Under 43

One of the props that we are singling out for today on the NFL playoff odds is simply what the first play of the game is going to be. That’s right, we’re going to set up a winner for you with just 14:50 or so left on the clock in the first quarter.

It seems like a foregone conclusion that the Packers and Bears are going to be determined to throw the football early and often, knowing that it is going to be very, very difficult for either team to run the football in this one.

However, when push came to shove this year, the Packers called 541 passing plays against 421 rushing plays, while the Bears called 466 passing plays against 414 rushing plays. For those of you math nuts out there, that’s 54.7 percent of all plays that these two teams called on the campaign that ended up being passing plays instead of runs.

We can do some simple math. If the first play of the game is a run 45.3 percent of the time at +145, we’re up right about 11 units over the course of 100 games.
Plus, let’s think about this logically. If the Bears get the ball first, we tend to believe that the NFL playoff odds suggest a run before a pass just to help Jay Cutler avoid a disastrous start to the game. You know that the Packers are going to be pressing and blitzing early, trying to force that early mistake, and just letting Matt Forte run it up between the tackles, even if it only goes for two or three yards, still gets some mojo going.

For the Packers, we can plainly see that there is a more conscious effort to try to get James Starks going on the ground as well. He has 48 carries over the course of the last two games, and you know that he is going to get his chances early and often. There is also the off chance that Aaron Rodgers, who is one of the most mobile quarterbacks, will take off and run on a designed pass play to boot.

My NFL Playoff Predictions: First Play of the NFC Championship Game a Run (+145)

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