NFL Picks – Sparked Buffalo Bills Visit Arrowhead To Take On KC

The Buffalo Bills remain the only winless team in the league, but are receiving praise after giving the Baltimore Ravens a scare last weekend in NFL picks. While it should surprise nobody that Ron Wilson’s franchise is as lousy as ever, people are very scared of Ryan Fitzpatrick. Hopefully, the Kansas City Chiefs can make put an end to this madness.

The dry numbers on this game should make Kansas a rightful favorite. Buffalo has not only gone winless this season, they’re also just 2-4 ATS and are 1-6 SU in their past 7 road games overall.

While Ryan “Sparky” Fitzpatrick has done a masterful job of creating some buzz around the Buffalo Bills, he still hasn’t given this team a chance at winning. Had the Bills not come close to giving Baltimore fits last weekend, this line would be well in to the double digits.

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However, what buffers Buffalo in some upset NFL picks is that Kansas City is historically bad against Buffalo at home. They’re 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when hosting the Bills. Overall, the Chiefs are just 5-19 SU and 8-16 ATS when playing at Arrowhead Stadium.

Buffalo Bills (0-6) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (4-2)
Sunday, October 31st — Arrowhead Stadium — 1:00pm EST
NFL Betting Line: Kansas City -7.5 (46)

That being said, you’d have to be insane to launch an NFL pick in the direction of Buffalo on the road this weekend. I mean, this is Buffalo we’re talking about. You can’t expect Lee Evans to blow up for three touchdowns again. It’s not happening. Baltimore walked in to that game with a sense of entitlement and was hammered for it.

This season the Chiefs have been much better on both sides of the ball. Their defense ranks seventh in the NFL with just 18.7 points per game, while they have the fourth best home rushing defense, giving up just 78.7 yards per game.

Part of what made Baltimore so vulnerable is that they expected Ed Reed to pick up the slack in the secondary, and the rust was evident in his game. Eric Berry, a rookie this year, has been more than adequate at stifling both the run and the pass from the safety position.

Then there’s the matter of Kansas City’s offense. Buffalo ranks dead last in points against with 33.0, and their defense fell apart against Baltimore all last weekend. Their rushing and passing defense are both on the low end of the scales, and while Kansas City’s pass defense leaves a lot to be desired, their top-ranked rushing attack at home (192.7) can do a much better job of conserving precious time while wearing down Buffalo’s defense.

Quarterback Matt Cassel and the Chiefs have also been dangerous in the red zone. They’re old school – grind the field and the clock towards the red zone and score every way possible once you get there. Buffalo won’t be able to stop them.

The other NFL pick in this game is easily the TOTAL. While I admire Kansas City’s defense, there’s nothing I can’t say that badly about Buffalo’s offense. Sparky has done a great job of putting up yards and points when he needs to, and can definitely help push this over. As was the case with Jacksonville, if Kansas is pushed to score, they can do so with ease.

Don’t be that scared of the Buffalo Bills. Just because they gave the Baltimore Ravens some problems, it doesn’t mean they can do that to any AFC playoff worthy team. The NFL picks might go with the hapless Bills this weekend, but you’re too smart to fall for these kinds of tricks.

NFL Picks – Kansas City -7.5 (OVER)

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