NFL Futures Betting – Vick Leads The MVP Debate Even If You Don’t Like It

It’s Week 11 in NFL betting and there’s still no clear cut MVP for the NFL futures section. That’s absolutely insane. Still, that hasn’t stopped the oddsmakers from handing out some incredibly interesting odds to win the MVP. It doesn’t matter who is the “favorite” – what matters is who you think will win.

1. Michael Vick (5-to-1 odds to win MVP)
The case against Vick is simple – he’s missed basically 4 games this season, and there’s still a horde of people out there that hate him. Not a lot of people are willing to give him a second chance for what he did, even though the case can be made that he’s paid his dues.

I mean, hasn’t he? He’s still technically bankrupt, more than 90% of his salary goes straight to paying of creditors, he’s still rebuilding his public image and he’s served two years in jail while being scorned by the fair share of the general public for years.

If you’re not willing to grant him a second chance in life, you never will. But let me ask you this: if you do something so stupid that everyone around you hates you for it, wouldn’t you want a second chance too? If you’re saying “no”, then you’re not thinking the question through.

Beyond that, Michael Vick is electrifying fans like no other player in the NFL MVP betting race. Has there been any quarterback this exciting since – well – Michael Vick? He’s changing the game (again), revitalizing football in Philadelphia and burning up highlight reels single handedly.

On Monday Night Football against Washington, he opened up with a perfect canon shot to DeSean Jackson and never looked back. His 333 passing yard, 88 rushing yard, 6 touchdown game was so historic that his jersey from that night is already on its way to the Professional Football Hall of Fame.

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He’s the poster boy for second chances in life. And it’s not just that he got a second chance; it’s what he’s doing with it. Vick is the highest rated passer in the game thus far. If that isn’t good enough for you to bet his odds on MVP then I frankly don’t know what is.

2. Peyton Manning (2-to-1 odds to win MVP)
He’s the favorite to win the race thus far for the same reason that Drew Brees and Tom Brady aren’t – he’s doing more with way less than anybody else. Statistically he’s in the top-3 when it comes to yards, touchdowns, interceptions and completions. On top of that, he’s also played in all games thus far which is why he’s the best bet in odds to win MVP. Of course that could all change when he faces the next guy on this list in Week 11…

3. Tom Brady (10-to-1 odds to win MVP)
Like Manning, Brady is doing a heck of a lot without a whole lot around him. Plus he’s in full on “FU” mode. Of all the values out there, Brady’s odds are the flat out best for odds to win MVP. I mean, who wouldn’t love a $10 flier to turn in to $100? Of course, it all depends on who gets the victory on Sunday when the Colts play the Patriots. If you like the Patriots in that game, then bank on the odds to win the MVP for Brady now.

4. Drew Brees (3-to-1 odds to win MVP)
You want an even better flier than Brady? How about Brees at 30-to-1 odds? The Saints are quietly just behind the Atlanta Falcons in the NFC South and haven’t had a stable rushing attack since Week 2. Why is Brees getting hammered here?

Well first off, the Saints got off to a ridiculously slow start. Still, Brees will continue to get votes in the odds to win MVP from the real committee because he has the best passing percentage in the league (69.8), the fourth most yards (2,587), third most touchdowns (18) and is doing it all by spreading the ball around as a great team leader.

The problem? Aside from a patty cake schedule, it’s the his 12 interceptions which are the second most of any quarterback that’s played a full throng of games.

5. Chris Johnson (15-to-1 odds to win MVP)
He’s the only constant star on the Tennessee Titans, and while he’s well short of the 2,500 mark he was gunning for at the onset of the season he’s still putting up good numbers. The issue here, in terms of betting on odds to win the MVP, is that they’re not great numbers. Arian Foster, Darren McFadden and Peyton Hillis are all making a bigger splash than Johnson. Yes, Hillis deserves that much attention. He’s making Cleveland a legitimate upstart! What more do you want?

The Rest of the Pack

Adrian Peterson (12-to-1) – He’s on a team that has almost zero chance of making the playoffs.

Aaron Rodgers (3-to-1) – No value here. He’s dealing with all the same problems that Brees, Brady and Manning are but he’s just not putting up enough big games.

Eli Manning (4-to-1) – Just flat out unsexy. On and off the field, but especially on it. Eli just doesn’t anything that “special” to grab your attention, other than being Peyton’s brother.

Mark Sanchez (15-to-1) – What?! The defense does all the work for the New York Jets! Sanchez has no value here in the odds to win MVP. None.

Philip Rivers (5-to-1) – Norv Turner, a rotating carousel of receivers and a spotty running game haven’t stopped Rivers from posting the most touchdowns (19) and yards (2,944) through nine games for all players. The problem is that San Diego might miss the playoffs entirely if Oakland Kansas City hang tough. For once, the Chargers don’t have destiny in their own hands and that kills Rivers’ odds to win the MVP this season.