NFL Betting – Super Bowl Prop Roundup
January 30, 2011
Prop bets are available most Sundays in the NFL, but Super Bowl Sunday takes the alternative wagering to another level. NFL betting isn’t just about sides and totals, it’s about how many rushing yards a player can manage, who will grab the first interception of the game, and, of course the eternal question: Head or Tails?
Oddsmakers haven’t disappointed this year with a slew of prop bets set for when the Green Bay Packers and Pittsburgh Steelers met in Arlington, Texas next Sunday.
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Here’s a quick look at some of the favorite Super Bowl prop bet odds:
Super Bowl MVP
Sharp bettors taking this prop will tie it in with their side bet. If you are giving the points and playing the Packers -2.5, a safe MVP vote would be quarterback Aaron Rodgers (+150) or receiver Greg Jennings (+1,200). If you’ll be waving a Terrible Towel come February 6, then Ben Roethlisberger (+200) or Rashard Mendenhall (+600) may be your men.
The trick is to plan out how you see the game unfolding and wager accordingly. If it is going to be a low-scoring affair, the running backs may get the bulk of the action. If you expect a shootout, receivers – and even ball-hawking defensive backs – present more value. Taking Green Bay corner Sam Shields at +3,000 would be a nice payday if he can repeat his two-interception day in the Super Bowl.
Will there be a defensive or special teams touchdown?
If you look at these teams’ recent history, taking a stab at Yes (+145) seems like a reasonable bet. Packers nose tackle B.J. Raji rumbled for an interception in the NFC Championship Game, and Pittsburgh’s defensive standouts Troy Polamalu and James Harrison know what to do when the ball is turned over. Harrison snagged a wayward pass from Kurt Warner in Super Bowl XLIII, running it back 100 yards for the score.
However, on special teams Green Bay and Pittsburgh aren’t the most dangerous return units. The Steelers ran one kickoff back for six points and failed to return a punt for a score this season.
The Packers’ return team put up goose eggs in both kick and punt return touchdowns. The desire to see a big defensive or special teams score can sometimes cloud a bettor’s judgment – No at -175 is actually a good price for this prop wager.
Coin toss
Sports betting is never more simple than the flip of a coin. Football online betting fans have a 50/50 shot at landing this one, with Heads and Tails both going off at -105, as is the team to win the coin toss. But, looking back at past Super Bowls, prop bettors will discover a glaring trend.
The NFC champs have won the coin toss for 13 straight Super Bowls, including last year when the New Orleans Saints correctly called Heads, deciding to receive. Of course, that decision led to their infamous onside kick to start the second half of Super Bowl XLIV.
The Steelers are 0-2 in their last two Super Bowl coin flips. They called Tails incorrectly in Super Bowl XLIII and watched as the Seattle Seahawks called Tails and won in Super Bowl XL.
They did, however, go on to win both of those games.
The Packers lost the coin toss to the New England Patriots in Super Bowl XXXI, but went on to win the game. Then the next year Green Bay won the toss but fell to the Denver Broncos in Super Bowl XXXII.
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