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NFL Betting Advice – Stick With Chicago at Home Versus Seattle

October 17, 2010

Week 6 is upon us and the best NFL Betting Advice that I can give you is to stay away from the Seattle Seahawks when they are on the road! A 1-10 S/U and ATS mark in their last 11 road games should give you an indication of just how bad they are away from Qwest Field. Rejoice Bears fans, Jay Cutler is scheduled to return to action this week – no more suffering through Todd Collin and Mr. Hanie!

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (2-2) vs. CHICAGO BEARS (4-1)

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Sunday, October 17, 1:00 PM ET

Soldier Field

Chicago, Illinois

Broadcast: FOX

NFL Betting Lines:

Seattle: +7 (-110)

Chicago: -7 (-110)

Moneyline: Seattle +250: Chicago -300

Total: 37 points

The Seattle Seahawks had their bye last week and during that time, they filled a glaring hole in their offense. Marshawn Lynch joins his college pal Justin Forsett in the Seattle backfield – a major upgrade for a team that hasn’t been able to run the ball since the days of Shaun Alexander.

The offense has been a constant rotation all season. Linemen, receivers and running backs have been rotated in and out like a hockey team. My NFL Betting Advice is to let things settle down in Seattle – wait for a little consistency with the lineup before taking a shot with them. The only constant, surprisingly, is Matt Hasselbeck who continues to be OK but not spectacular. The passing game, void of any real playmakers ranks 22nd at the present time while the running game (that should improve) ranks an ugly 29th.

Seattle’s defense is healthy this season and is not a glaring weakness like it was last season. They presently rank 31st against the pass and 2nd against the run.

The Chicago Bears will look more like the team that went 3-0 at the start of the season. Jay Cutler is back and ready to lead what had been an absolutely stagnant passing game in his absence. Chicago rebounded last week and avenged a terrible Monday night loss with a resounding 23-6 win over lifeless Carolina.

Chicago’s offense has been good this season, when Jay Cutler is at the helm. Otherwise, they have been terrible. Other than a Week 3 shellacking at the hands of the New York Giants, Cutler has been accurate and he has limited his mistakes. Will we see the New Jay Cutler or will his concussion take him back a step to reflect the Old Jay Cutler? The Bears passing game currently ranks 24th in the NFL, thanks in large part to the game and a half that Cutler was forced to sit.

Matt Forte finally had a breakout game out of the backfield last Sunday. Outside of that 166 yard effort, he and Chester Taylor have been totally ineffective running the ball. For all of you Fantasy Football junkies, my NFL Football Betting Advice is to stay away from Matt Forte.  It is a good thing that Forte is a threat in the passing game or he would be considered a bust yet again.

Chicago’s defense will be a handful for the Seattle offense as per usual. They rank 17th against the pass and 4th against the run. The return of Brian Urlacher has restored the Bears reputation as one of the best defensive units in football.

NFL Betting Advice Outlook:

Seattle’s numbers are not pretty! Besides the brutal road numbers, they are 2-6 S/U in their last eight games, are 5-16 S/U following their bye, 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against Chicago, 4-9 ATS in 13 versus the NFC and 8-21-1 ATS in their last 30game as road underdogs.

The Chicago Bears are 6-1 S/U in their last seven games, 4-1 S/U in their last five at home but are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven games at home.

Seattle is absolutely terrible on the road – they were only able to score three points in St. Louis in their last game! With Jay Cutler back, Chicago looks to be a Top 10 NFL team. This game has blowout written all over it.

NFL Betting Advice: Pick the Chicago Bears -7

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