NFL Betting Advice – Colts want to Control Houston

Nobody should miss this AFC South Rematch which provides some interesting scenarios concerning NFL Betting Advice. Houston finally owned Indianapolis early in the year, but things change.

Indianapolis and Houston are both coming off byes, so forget about any excuses for your loss offensive and defensive coordinators.

Houston Texans (4-2) at Indianapolis Colts (4-2) – MNF Monday, November 1, 8:35 ET (ESPN-TV)

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Lucas Oil Stadium (63,000-expandable to 70,000) – Indianapolis, Indiana

NFL Betting Line:

Houston Texans (2-3-1 ATS) +5 ½ (ML +200)

Indianapolis Colts (3-2-1 ATS) -5 ½ (ML -240)

Over/Under Total – 51 ½

These two AFC South Division foes clashed in the first week of the NFL season with the Texans upsetting the Colts 34-24. Some NFL Betting Advice to take in is that this game will be TOTALLY different.

Arian Foster had 3 touchdowns and 231 yards rushing leading Houston to the win despite Peyton Manning throwing for 433 yards. Look for a more contained game with more strategy here.

A Houston victory here would give them the advantage over Indy for the Division Championship. The Colts aren’t used to having much competition the last few years, and I expect them to be ready for the Texans coming to I Town.

This time the game is on Indy’s terrain, and I expect it to be quite a different game from the first. Houston has never come away from Indianapolis with a victory in 8 showdowns.

I would say they don’t here either, but I expect this game to be more maintained and conservative on both sides. I didn’t say conservative – I said MORE conservative.

The Texans have some huge holes in the cheese on defense. They are now the worst ranked defense overall and worst against passing allowing 306.2 yards a game in the entire NFL.

Houston is going to rack up the offensive yards. This we do know. They have the 5th strongest offense in the league, and Indy is not so hard to drive on. My NFL Betting Advice here has more to do with strategy than statistics.

The Colts don’t have a great defense themselves. They’re the 21st ranked defense overall and rushing defense is their bigger weakness allowing 137.3 yards a game ranking 24th in the NFL.

Indy does have some problems with injury on offense right now. Dallas Clark is out for the season which will hurt Manning’s offensive rhythm. He is the ONLY tight end I would actually consider to be a game changer if he can’t play.

Manning’s home movies night is that last Houston game they lost on a loop. He will probably do ok for a Manning in this rematch.

Linebacker Brian Cushing needs to step his game up yet this year. After the suspension this year, he hasn’t rocked yet. This is the game to do it baby!!

Mario Williams has his time to earn his keep now. He needs to prove it was worth blowing off Vince Young and Reggie Bush for a Manning Mauler. This is the key to a victory here if he and Cushing can keep Manning pressured.

My NFL Betting Advice on this game has to do with these teams’ scheme here. These teams are not going to go for the shootout scenario in this game. It’s going to be a more subtle game plan.

Indianapolis is too used to winning this Division every year to let it come down to a slugfest. They will control the clock and keep the freak show to a minimum while winning.

I don’t know if Indianapolis can cover that NFL Pointspread, but I do know my best NFL Betting Advice here is to Bet Houston at Indy goes UNDER 51 ½ Points.