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NFL Betting Advice – Baltimore at Houston could be Bombs Away

December 13, 2010

When I give NFL Betting Advice on Baltimore Ravens games, it usually involves something having to do with defense. This time it’s going to be different.

The Houston Texans are obviously an offensive leader, but the biggest reason they are under a .500 winning percentage is their lack of a pass defense.

Baltimore Ravens (8-4) at Houston Texans (5-7) – Monday December 13 at 8:30 ET ESPN-TV

Reliant Stadium (71,500) – Houston, Texas

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NFL Betting Line:

Baltimore Ravens (5-6-1 ATS) -3 Ev (ML -150)

Houston Texans (4-7-1 ATS) +3 -120 (ML +130)

Over/Under Total – 46

The Ravens haven’t looked like a team ready for Super Bowl glory the last few weeks, but don’t write this team off just because their mascot is a dirty bird.

The Texans have the worst passing defense in the NFL giving up an average of 287.4 yards a game. No NFL Betting Advice can overlook this major statistic.

They’re also second to last in total defense, so the Ravens have a good chance to revive their lagging offense.

Baltimore looked as if they would become an offensive machine this year after adding wide receivers Anquan Boldin, T.J. Houshmandzadeh and Donte Stallworth.

Instead of increasing the offensive power they have, they simply transferred it. They have become more of a passing offense which is fine, but what happened to this smashing running game from last year.

Ray Rice led this crew of pounders that includes Willis McGahee and Le’Ron McClain last year, but they now have one of the worst yards per carry average in the league which is more than a whole yard a carry worse than last season.

The Texans are not having any problem running or passing the ball this year on the offensive side of the ball. My NFL Betting Advice here will focus on their problem that the opposing team isn’t having any problems either.

Arian Foster is the brightest new superstar in the NFL this year leading the league in rushing yards. He is the only running back averaging over 100 yards per game on the ground but will be facing the sixth ranked Ravens’ rushing D allowing less than 100 yards per team each week.

I would expect QB Joe Flacco to try and go deep often against defensive backs Glover Quinn and Kareem Jackson to take advantage of that weak secondary.

Don’t think that Matt Schaub won’t do the same thing for Houston, because he will. He has been effective doing that this year, and I expect him to take some shots off play action to Defense killer Arian Foster.

My NFL Betting Advice here is more based on both quarterbacks and the passing offense each team will generate. I’m not forgetting Arian Foster either, because he is one of the leaders in receptions this year also.

NFL Betting Advice – Bet Baltimore at Houston OVER 46 Total Points

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