NFL Betting – Bills Will Battle But Should Be Beaten Badly Sunday versus the Chiefs

The Buffalo Bills have long been in the NFL Betting doghouse but a good effort last week against the mighty Baltimore Ravens has given their loyal fans reason for optimism. This week, they travel to the always tough Arrowhead Stadium to take on a Kansas City team that is the surprise of the NFL Betting world so far in this young season.

BUFFALO BILLS (0-6) vs. KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (4-2)
Sunday, October 31, 1:00 PM ET
Arrowhead Stadium Kansas City, Missouri
Broadcast: CBS

NFL Betting Lines:

Buffalo: +7 1/2 (-110)
Kansas City: -7 1/2 (-110)

Moneyline: Buffalo +270: Kansas City -330

Total: 44 1/2 points

The Buffalo Bills have shown some life in the last few games and although they are still winless on the season, the NFL Betting world cannot view them as doormats any longer. The offense has come alive and has given their opposition something to think about each and every week from here on out.

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Buffalo’s offense exploded last week against a very good Baltimore defense and they nearly won the game. Ryan Fitzpatrick looks like the real deal as demonstrated by his 374 yards passing and four touchdowns last week. Still, the Bills offense is 28th ranked (293 yards per game) with a 23rd ranked passing offense (182 yards per game) and a 15th ranked running game (110 yards per game). Improvement is evident for Buffalo – it’s about time!

Buffalo’s defense has underachieved so far. What was thought to be a strength of the team is 28th ranked overall (379 yards per game) with the passing defense ranking 9th (204 yards per game and the rushing defense ranking last in the NFL (174 yards per game). It goes without saying that against the #1 rushing offense in the NFL, the Buffalo run defense is in deep on Sunday.

The Kansas City Chiefs have emerged from the difficult part of their schedule 4-2 and have made their NFL betting fans very happy so far. Offensively, they have been good and defensively, Romeo Crenell has the team playing at a very high level.

Kansas City has the 12th ranked offense overall (345 yards per game) and has been bolstered by a Top ranked running game that generates an average of 176.5 yards per game. The passing game is coming along but still ranks 30th with an average of 168 yards per game. With Matt Casell gaining more confidence and Dwayne Bowe finally realizing his potential, expect the Chiefs passing game to steadily improve this season.

Kansas City’s defense has shown marked improvement this season. They are 11th overall in the NFL with 333 yards per game surrendered, 6th against the run (89 yards per game) and 25th against the pass (243 yards per game). Ryan Fitzpatrick will likely look to attack the Chiefs through the air this week – a place that they have been somewhat vulnerable.

NFL Betting Outlook:

The Buffalo Bills are 0-6 S/U and 2-4 ATS so far this season.  They are 1-6 S/U in their last seven on the road but are 7-3 S/U in their last 10 meetings with Kansas City. The Bills are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against the Chiefs and are 4-1 ATS at Arrowhead.

Kansas City is 8-17 S/U in their last 25 games overall but is 5-2 S/U in their last seven. They are a miserable 8-16 ATS in their last 24 games and are 5-19 S/U in their last 24 games at home.

Kansas City is the better team in this matchup by far. Although the Bills showed signs of life last week, their first win of the season will likely have to wait. Romeo Crenell will have a solid defensive plan for the Bills and the Chiefs running game will be absolutely no match for the Bills defense. 7 ½ points seems like a lot of points but in this case, it may be just right. The Chiefs keep rolling and win by 10 on Sunday.

NFL Betting Pick: Kansas City Chiefs – 7 ½ 

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