New Orleans Looking to Make it Two in a Row ATS as NFL Betting Faves
October 24, 2010
The defending Super Bowl Champion New Orleans Saints will be looking to make it two in a row against the spread as a big NFL betting fave when they host the Cleveland Browns on Oct. 24th.
The Saints finally got it going offensively last Sunday when Drew Brees threw for 263 yards and 3 touchdown passes. Brees went to Lance Moore, Robert Meachem and Heath Evan for the TDs, and will be looking to spread the ball again versus Cleveland this Sunday.
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But Cleveland has proven to be an okay team at times this season and the NFL betting odds for this game might make them an attractive team to back ATS.
Cleveland Browns at New Orleans Saints
Where: Louisiana Superdome, New Orleans Louisiana
When: Oct. 24th, 2010 at 1:00 pm EST
TV: CBS
Radio: Sirius – 129 (CLE), 126 (NO)
NFL Betting Lines
Cleveland Browns +13 -110 O 43 ½
New Orleans Saints -13 -110 U 43 ½
The NFL betting online trends actually favor the Browns against the spread in this game.
- The Cleveland Browns are 5 and 1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing 250 yards or more passing in their previous game.
- The Cleveland Browns are 6 and 2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss.
- The New Orleans Saints are 1 and 4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- The New Orleans Saints are 2 and 5 ATS in their last 7 games at home.
Starting around Week 7 last season, the New Orleans Saints turned into one of the worst teams against the NFL betting expert lines in the league. A lot of football handicappers are hoping that the opposite happens this Week 7.
The Saints were awesome last Sunday when taking the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to the cleaners. Brees was on point with most of his passes, the defense shut down Bucs’ QB Josh Freeman and, most surprisingly, the Saints found a rushing game.
I wrote above that the Browns might be an attractive team to back against the spread in this game, but I’m going to take away the might right now. To me the Saints to cover is an easy NFL betting prediction, based purely on stats, because their improved running game, Chris Ivory had 158 yards on 15 carries, is going to test that Cleveland D, which has given up an average of 143 yards per game on the ground in their last 2 contests.
The Browns’ rushing game, led by the very good RB Peyton Hillis, is going to find little success against a Saints’ rush D that is allowing only 2-yards per carry in their past 2 games. So, the Saints have a better rushing game and a better rushing defense than the Cleveland Browns.
Do the Browns have any shot in the passing game? No. They really don’t. Wide receivers Joshua Cribbs and Mohamed Massaquoi were both knocked out of the Pittsburgh game with concussions. Not that their presence would have mattered given the fact that the Browns started QB Colt McCoy in that game.
Every stat I look at leads to one conclusion that the Saints should cover the NFL betting against the spread line in this game. I don’t see how I could possibly go against those stats, but I will say that New Orleans has a tendency to rest on their laurels once they get a lead.
So, don’t be surprised if the Browns get this game to within the number in garbage time. Still, I have to make my NFL betting predictions based on what I see today and from what I see today, the Saints should cover the spread.
NFL Betting Pick: New Orleans Saints -13 -110
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