NCAAF Lock Alert – Over to cash in as Auburn and West Virginia collide

West Virginia (+7½) vs. Auburn (-7½)

O/U (53)

Saturday, September 19 7:45 PM ET

The West Virginia Mountaineers (2-0 SU, 1-0 ATS, 1-0 O/U) and the Auburn Tigers (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS, 2-0 O/U) will both be looking to move to 3-0 when the undefeated foes battle at Jordan-Hare Stadium on Saturday at 7:45 PM ET.

Senior quarterback Jarrett Brown completed 24 of 31 passes for 334 yards with four touchdown strikes and one interception in Week 2 as West Virginia beat East Carolina 35-20, covering their NCAA college football betting odds as 6.5-point home favorites while the game’s 55 combined points played well Over the 44.5-point Over/Under total.

Auburn laid a 49-24 spanking on Mississippi State at Jordan-Hare Stadium in Week 2, covering the NCAAF betting odds as 15-point home favorites while the final score played well over the 46.5-point O/U total.

Senior quarterback Chris Todd completed 10 of 23 passes for 186 yards while senior running back Ben Tate rushed 20 times for 157 yards and one touchdown and freshman running back Onterio McCalebb carried 16 times for 114 yards and one touchdown.

Here is a look at tonight’s key trends, followed by my in-depth analysis and NCAAF Free Pick.

• Over is 4-0 in Mountaineers last 4 games as a road underdog.
• Over is 6-0 in Mountaineers last 6 games as an underdog.
• Over is 4-1 in Mountaineers last 5 vs. SEC.
• Over is 6-2 in Mountaineers last 8 games overall.
• Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 vs. Big East.
• Over is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Over is 13-6 in Tigers last 19 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Mountaineers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
• Mountaineers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. SEC.
• Mountaineers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
• Mountaineers are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Tigers are 19-8 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS win.
• Tigers are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Tigers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
• Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Big East.

NCAAF Odds

• West Virginia +7½ -110
• Auburn -7½ -110
• Over 53 -110
• Under 53 -110

Analysis: With West Virginia scoring 33 and 35 points in their first two contests this season and Auburn putting up 37 and 49 points in their first two ballgames this season, I think the Over is an absolute lock.

The has gone a spotless 4-0 in West Virginia’s last four games as a road underdog and 6-0 in their last six games as an underdog.

The Over has also played out in four of the Mountaineers’ last five games against SEC opponents while also going a consistent 6-2 in their last eight games overall.

The Over has also gone 4-0 in Auburn’s last four games against Big East teams while playing out in four of the Tigers’ last five games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Take the Over to play out in this NCAAA college football Lock pick.

NCAAF Free Picks: Over 53 Total Points