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NCAA Sports Betting – Georgia beats Vandy

October 16, 2010

The winner of this game should be very clear, but in NCAA Sports Betting, you need to figure out how many points to give or get on each side to make it a smart NCAA bet.

These Bulldogs just got off a bad losing streak, and I don’t expect them to get back on that train.

Vanderbilt Commodores (2-3) at Georgia Bulldogs (2-4) – Saturday, October 16 at 12:20 ET
Sanford Stadium (92,746) – Athens, Georgia

NCAA Sports Line:
Vanderbilt Commodores (3-2 ATS) +14  (ML +450)
Georgia Bulldogs (2-4 ATS) -14  (ML -600)
Over/Under Game Total  48

Georgia halted their four-game losing streak last week by slapping Tennessee around 41-14 at their Homecoming. That ended the Bulldog’s longest downward slide since 1990. It also ended the chances of many Volunteers to get lucky with a little charity of their own that night.

The Commodores (not the singing group) graciously handed Eastern Michigan its 18th loss in a row giving them the honor of the second longest streak in the FBS.

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Vanderbilt is only allowing 161.4 yards passing per game which is ranked 14th in the nation. They’re going against a Bulldog team that relies more on that passing game than rushing. This influences NCAA Sports Betting decision Vanderbilt’s way.

Vanderbilt is on the front end of a season going down, down, all the way down. After they get beat here, they get to or got to play South Carolina, Arkansas, Florida, Kentucky, Tennessee and Wake Forest. They won’t be doing much singing after that run.

Georgia is allowing a mere 111 yards a game rushing which ranks 25th in the FBS. Vanderbilt is a rushing team that when shut down there don’t fare well having to pass to stay or catch up in the game.

The Bulldogs A.J. Green is on fire after coming back from a four game suspension 2 weeks ago. Green has 13 receptions for 215 yards and 3 touchdowns in 2 games after coming back from his act of selling his Bowl jersey to someone matching the agent definition.

Vandy’s coach Robbie Caldwell says he has to come up “with quite a plan to slow that down” when talking about 6 foot 4 deep threat A.J. Green. This defense has done well this year, but they haven’t come up against the likes of Mean Green.

Georgia can probably impose their will on Vandy if they can establish their rushing game. This is a defense ranking 89th against the run giving up 183.8 yards a game. This will help quarterback Aaron Murray have time and surprise the Commodores highly rated and dangerous pass defense.

The problem with a lot of NCAA Sports Betting decisions is information that seems to contradict your decisions. In this case, the contradicting evidence for Vanderbilt’s side is enough because of the NCAA point spread.

NCAA Sports Betting Pick: Bet Vanderbilt +14, and I would even buy the extra hook on this one to 14 ½.

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