NCAA Football Week 5 Picks – Clemson at Maryland

Clemson (-13) vs. Maryland (+13)

O/U (48)

Saturday, October 3 – 12:00 PM ET

The Clemson Tigers (2-2 SU, 3-1 ATS, 2-2 O/U) didn’t look very good in losing their last game at home, but will have an excellent chance to bounce back when they battle the winless Maryland Terrapins (1-3 SU, 0-4 ATS, 3-1 O/U) at Byrd Stadium on Saturday at 12 PM ET.

Clemson was shut out in the second half of its 14-10 home loss to TCU on Saturday, but got 114 rushing yards and a touchdown from star halfback C.J. Spiller in Week 4.

The Tigers failed to cover the game’s NCAAF betting odds as 2-point favorites while the final score played Under the 40.5-point O/U total.

Chris Turner threw one touchdown but three costly interceptions as Maryland fell to Rutgers 34-13 in a Week 4 home loss that left the team winless coming into this contest.

The Terrapins failed to cover the spread as 1-point home favorites while the game’s final score played Under the 49.5-point O/U total.

Here is a look at tonight’s key trends and college football betting odds, followed by my in-depth analysis and expert NCAAF Free Picks.

• Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
• Tigers are 7-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• Tigers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
• Terrapins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
• Terrapins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
• Terrapins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• Terrapins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
• Under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings.
• Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Maryland.
• Tigers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
• Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
• Road team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

NCAAF Odds

• Clemson -13 -110
• Maryland +13 -110
• Over 48 -110
• Under 48 -110

Analysis: I initially had some reservations about Clemson covering such a high spread on the road and the more I looked at Maryland’s play this season, the more I became convinced that this team could barely beat a division 2A school.

While the Terrapins have gone a solid 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a home underdog, the Terps have also compiled a dismal 1-4 ATS mark in their last five conference games and identical 1-4 ATS record in their last five home games.

Maryland has also gone 0-4 ATS in their four games this season while the Clemson Tigers have gone an impressive 4-0 ATS in their last four conference games and 7-2 ATS against a team with a losing record.

Further cementing my belief that the Tigers are going to cover the spread in this matchup is the fact that the Tigers have gone an impressive 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall while the road team has gone a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings.

With the Under going 8-1 in the last nine meetings and 4-1 in the last five meetings in Maryland, I also like the Under to play out in this matchup.

NCAAF Free Picks: Clemson -13 Points/Under 48 Total Points