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NCAA Basketball Lines SC @ Baylor

January 2, 2009

The South Carolina Gamecocks (9-2 SU, 2-4 ATS, 4-1 O/U) had their five-game winning streak snapped the last time they took the court, losing to in-state rivals, Clemson 98-87 on Tuesday.

The 19th-ranked Baylor Bears (12-1 SU, 4-1 ATS, 2-3 O/U) have won six straight games in the BetOnline Sportsbook and nine of their last 10 overall. Baylor absolutely trashed the Jackson State Tigers 113-78 on Wednesday as five players reached double figures in scoring.

The Bears shot 63.8 percent from the field and were 10-of-24, (41.7 percent) from 3-point range and rested most of their starters in the second half.

"As far as today goes I think that our first group out there did a great job and they really got us off to a great start and helped us set the tone," Baylor coach Scott Drew said. "Everybody played and everybody played hard. A lot of good things were accomplished and now we are fully focused and ready for (South Carolina) and then the Big 12."

6-8 senior forward Kevin Rogers scored a team-high 21 points on 10-for-13 shooting while senior guard Henry Dugat added 20 points on 7-for-11 shooting.

The Gamecocks cut an 18-point deficit to eight points with 11:38 remaining but couldn’t get over the proverbial hump despite getting a career-high 37 points from junior point guard Devan Downey on 14-of-21 shooting from the field.

"We just can’t dig ourselves into these kind of holes in big games," said Downey, who’s averaging a team-high 20.6 points. "We just can’t do it."

Here is a look at tonight’s key trends, followed by my in-depth analysis and NCAAB Free Pick.

The Gamecocks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home.

The Gamecocks are 28-7 ATS in their last 35 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

The Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Friday games.

The Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.

The Over is 6-1 in Gamecocks last 7 overall.

The Over is 20-6 in Bears last 26 overall.

NCAAB Odds

South Carolina +9 -110

Baylor -9 -110

Analysis: The Gamecocks don’t stand a chance of winning this game whatsoever and no matter how hard I try to envision a cover for the Gamecocks in this matchup, I just don’t see it happening. Take the Baylor Bears to roll to victory while covering the spread with room to spare.

NCAAB Free Picks: Baylor -9 Points

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