NBA Upset Lock Alert – Atlanta Hawks at Cleveland Cavaliers

The Atlanta Hawks (51-38 SU, 47-41-1 ATS, 40-47-2 O/U) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (70-16 SU, 54-32 ATS, 29-14 O/U) will both be gunning for an SU and ATS victory in the BetOnline Sportsbook when they square off at Quicken Loans Arena in Game 1 of their second-round playoff series.

The Hawks advanced to the second round by beating the Miami Heat 91-78 as a 5.5-point favorite in Game 7 of their first-round series on Sunday.

Shooting guard Joe Johnson scored a team-high 27 points for Atlanta while high-flying forward Josh Smith added 21 points and the combined score played Under the set O/U total (181).

The Cavaliers advanced to the second round by trashing the Detroit Pistons in four games, trashing their division rivals 99-78 as a 9-point favorite in Game 4 of their first-round series to sweep.

Newly-named league MVP LeBron James scored a game-high 36 points to go along with 13 rebounds and eight assists to lead Cleveland to victory while the combined score played Under the posted over/under total (179).

Here is a look at tonight’s key trends, followed by my in-depth analysis and NBA Free Picks.

The Hawks are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 vs. NBA Central.

The Hawks are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 games following an ATS win.

The Cavaliers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Conference Semifinals games.

The Cavaliers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.

The Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

The Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Cleveland.

The Hawks are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Cleveland.

The Hawks are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

The Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

NBA Odds

Atlanta Hawks +11½ -110

Cleveland Cavaliers -11½ -110

Over 179 -110

Under 179 -110

Analysis: While the Cleveland Cavaliers won the regular season series 3-1, the Hawks have covered the spread in three straight games against the Cavs after an opening season ATS loss and lost one game to the Cavs by one point and another by just six points.

Despite playing at home in this contest, I like the Atlanta Hawks to give the Cleveland Cavaliers all they can handle and then some as they cover the insanely high point spread with room to spare BetOnline NBA sports betting buffs.

NBA Free Picks: Hawks +11½ Points/Over 179 Total Points