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NBA Parlay – Timberwolves at Spurs

March 17, 2009

The Minnesota Timberwolves (20-46 SU, 29-36-1 ATS, 34-30-2 O/U) have won two of their last three games going an identical 2-1 ATS during the span.

The San Antonio Spurs (44-22 SU, 34-30-2 ATS, 31-34-1 O/U) have dropped two of their last three while going an identical 1-2 ATS during the span.

Both teams will be trying to pick up an SU and ATS victory in the BetOnline Sportsbook when they meet at the AT&T Center tonight.

The Timberwolves got a team-high 22 points from rookie center Kevin Love in their 108-100 win over the Charlotte Bobcats on Saturday.

Minnesota covered the spread for BetOnline NBA sports betting backers as a 5-point home underdog while the final score played over the 190.5-point total.

Veteran point guard Tony Parker scored a team-high 28 points for the Spurs in its 78-76 loss to Oklahoma City on Monday night.

The Spurs failed to cash in for bettors as a 5-point road favorite while the game played under the 190-point O/U total.

Here is a look at tonight’s key trends, followed by my in-depth analysis and NBA Free Picks.

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota’s last 9 games

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota’s last 8 games when playing on the road against San Antonio

Minnesota is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games on the road

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota’s last 6 games on the road

San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota

San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

San Antonio is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home

San Antonio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

NBA Odds

Minnesota Timberwolves +11 -110

San Antonio Spurs -11 -110

Over 191½ -110

Under 191½ -110

Analysis: The Spurs may be the superior team in this matchup – and are also playing at home – but I’m starting to lose a lot of trust in them as they have been playing totally uninspiring basketball lately.

I say, take the Timberwolves to cover the double-digit spread despite being on the road – just like they did in their last road contest against the Portland Trailblazers.

I haven’t written it much this season, but I like the Timberwolves to cover.

NBA Free Picks: Minnesota +11 Points/Under 191½ Total Points

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