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NBA Lock Alert – Mavericks will Demolish the Warriors

March 14, 2009

The Dallas Mavericks (40-25 SU, 32-33 ATS, 31-34 O/U) come into tonight’s matchup riding a three-game winning streak after beating the Portland Trail Blazers 93-89 on Wednesday night.

Dallas cashed in for BetOnline NBA sports betting enthusiasts as 8-point road underdogs while the game played under the 196-point total.

All-star forward Dirk Nowitzki dropped a team-high 29 points and hauled down 10 rebounds to lift the Mavericks to victory.

The Golden State Warriors (22-42 SU, 28-32-3 ATS, 33-30 O/U) snapped its three-game losing streak by beating the New Jersey Nets 116-112 on Wednesday.

The Warriors covered the spread as 3-point home favorites while the teams played Over the 222.5-point total.

Veteran swingman Stephen Jackson had 29 points, seven rebounds, and seven assists to lead the Warriors to victory.

Here is a look at tonight’s key trends, followed by my in-depth analysis and NBA Free Pick.

The Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NBA Pacific.

The Mavericks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.

The Warriors are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

The Warriors are 11-4-2 ATS in their last 17 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.

The Over is 4-0 in Mavericks last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.

The Under is 5-0 in Warriors last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.

The Favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

The Home team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

The Mavericks are 7-22-1 ATS in the last 30 meetings.

NBA Odds

Dallas Mavericks +1½ -110

Golden State Warriors -1½ -110

Over 223 -110

Under 223 -110

Analysis: Despite being maddeningly inconsistent all season long, the Dallas Mavericks have played solid basketball in recording three straight SU and ATS wins coming into this contest. Simply put, I like the Mavericks to win and cover the spread in their fourth straight game.

NBA Free Picks: Mavericks +1½ Points/Under 223 Total Points

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