NBA Lock Alert – Celtics vs. Heat

The Boston Celtics (49-15 SU, 34-30 ATS, 29-34-1 O/U) are surviving life without Kevin Garnett fairly well, but lost to the Orlando Magic 86-79 as a 2.5-point home favorite on Sunday.

A rejuvenated Ray Allen scored a game-high 32 points for Boston and Paul Pierce added 16 points in the loss as the combined score checked in Under the posted over/under total (196.5).

The Miami Heat (34-29 SU, 28-33-2 ATS, 35-27-1 O/U) saw superstar shooting guard Dwyane Wade go off to the tune of 47 points, 12 assists, six rebounds, and four steals to lift the Heat past the Chicago Bulls 129-127 in double overtime on Monday night.

The Heat failed to cover the spread for BetOnline NBA betting buffs as 5-point home favorites while the game played Over the 205-point O/U total.

Here is a look at tonight’s key trends, followed by my in-depth analysis and NBA Free Pick.

Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami

Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami

Boston is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games on the road

Boston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Miami

Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami’s last 9 games when playing Boston

Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami’s last 9 games when playing at home against Boston

NBA Odds

Boston Celtics +3½ -110

Miami Heat -3½ -110

Over 189 -110

Under 189 -110

Analysis: The Boston Celtics have beaten the Miami Heat six straight times while covering the spread in four consecutive contests. Coming off a loss their last time out, I fully expect the C’s to be in a foul mood while the keep the lesser-talented Heat in check while covering the spread easily.

NBA Free Picks: Celtics +3½ Points/Under 189 Total Points