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NBA Lock Alert – Orlando Magic at Detroit Pistons

November 3, 2009

The Orlando Magic (3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS, 2-1 O/U) will look to stay unbeaten when they visit the revamped Detroit Pistons (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS, 0-3 O/U) at the Palace at Auburn Hills tonight at 7:30 PM ET.

The Magic defeated the Toronto Raptors 125-116 on Sunday to win and cover the spread for the third straight game, this time, as a 5.5-point road favorite while the game’s final score played Over the 200-point O/U total.

All-star point guard Jameer Nelson scored a team-high 30 points for Orlando while J.J. Redick added 27 points and all-star center Dwight Howard added 24 points and 11 rebounds in the victory.

The Pistons will look to avoid a third consecutive loss after they were defeated 96-85 by the Milwaukee Bucks on Saturday, failing to cover the NBA point spread as 2.5-point road underdogs while the game’s final score played under the 181-point O/U total.

Ben Gordon scored a game-high 26 points in a losing effort for Detroit.

Here is a look at tonight’s key trends and NBA Betting Odds, followed by my in-depth analysis and expert NBA Free Picks.

Magic are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 vs. NBA Central.

Magic are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games.

Pistons are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. NBA Southeast.

Pistons are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Over is 11-4 in the last 15 meetings in Detroit.

Magic are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Detroit.

Magic are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

BetOnline NBA Odds

Orlando Magic -6½ Points

Over/Under 189 Points

Analysis: This contest will likely be over by the time the half-time entertainment takes the floor with the explosive Magic averaging a stellar 113.3 points per game and Detroit struggling to score 88.0 points per contest.

Despite the fact that the Magic have gone a dismal 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings in Detroit and an identical 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings against the Pistons overall, Orlando is the easy selection in this contest as they’ve gone a stellar 10-2 ATS in their last 12 versus NBA Central ballclubs and 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games overall.

The Pistons make this pick even easier by going just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games versus NBA Southeast opponents and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games versus a team with a winning road record.

Plain and simple, take the Magic to rock and roll in this one against a revamped Pistons team that is still trying to find its new identity after adding Ben Gordon, Charlie Villanueva and Ben Wallace to its roster this past offseason.

NBA Free Picks: Orlando -6½ Points

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