Top

NBA Lock Alert – Nuggets will Cover Spread Against Hornets

April 22, 2009

The Denver Nuggets (55-28 SU, 45-37-1 ATS, 43-40 O/U) will look to take a 2-0 series lead over the New Orleans Hornets (49-34 SU, 35-46-2 ATS, 35-46-2 O/U) when they square off in the BetOnline Sportsbook and on the court in Game 2 at the Pepsi Center tonight at 10:30 PM ET.

The Nuggets spanked the Hornets in Game 1, winning 113-84 as a 6.5-point favorite in Game 1 on Sunday while the final score cashed in Over the posted over/under total (195).

All-star point guard Chauncey Billups went off, scoring a game-high 36 points to go along with eight assists for Denver, while explosive shooting guard J.R. Smith added 19 off the bench points in the win.

All-star point guard Chris Paul led New Orleans with 21 points and 11 assists, while veteran forward Peja Stojakovic added 13 points.

Here is a look at tonight’s key trends, followed by my in-depth analysis and NBA Free Picks.

The Hornets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.

The Hornets are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games following a S.U. loss.

The Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.

The Nuggets are 22-5-1 ATS in their last 28 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5.

The Favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

The Hornets are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Denver.

The Over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Denver.

NBA Odds

New Orleans Hornets +6 -110

Denver Nuggets -6 -110

Over 193½ -110

Under 193½ -110

Analysis: While I don’t necessarily think the Nuggets are going to rout the Hornets as bad as they did in Game 1, I just don’t see New Orleans being able to stay with the Nuggets in this contest or the overall series for that matter.

The Hornets have been hurting all season long and don’t have much of a bench at all outside of James Posey while the Denver Nuggets are blossoming under the direction and leadership of veteran point guard Chauncey Billups.

Take the Nuggets to cover the spread for the fourth time in the last five meetings and the Over BetOnline NBA sports betting enthusiasts.

NBA Free Picks: Nuggets -5 Points/Over 193½ Total Points

Comments

Got something to say?





 
Bottom