NBA Expert Picks – Golden State Warriors vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
January 6, 2010
Warriors vs. Timberwolves (-3)
(O/U) 225
Wednesday, January 6 8:00 PM ET
Two of the worst teams in the league will square of tonight when the Minnesota Timberwolves (7-28 SU, 17-18 ATS, 14-20-1 O/U) host the Golden State Warriors (9-24 SU, 17-15-1 ATS, 17-16 O/U) at the Target Center at 8 PM ET.
Golden State 411
Veteran small forward Corey Maggette went off for 35 points and Monta Ellis added 32 points for Golden State but it was not enough as the Warriors lost to the Denver Nuggets 123-122 on Tuesday night.
Golden State managed to cover the NBA moneyline and cash in for pro basketball betting enthusiasts as a 5.5-point road underdog and have gone a money-making 5-1 ATS over their last six games overall.
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Minnesota 411
The Timberwolves have lost four consecutive games, including a 122-111 defeat at the hands of the Indiana Pacers on Saturday. The T-Wolves placed five players in double figures in scoring, led by All Jefferson’s 23 points, but failed to cover the NBA moneyline as a 4-point road underdog while going a disappointing 1-3 ATS over the last four games and just 4-6 ATS over their last 10 games overall.
Here is a look at some key trends for tonight’s matchup.
- Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.
- Timberwolves are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 vs. Western Conference.
- Timberwolves are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Road team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
- Warriors are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
Analysis: The Golden State Warriors may be struggling to pick up a straight up (SU) win these days, but they’ve been money I the bank against the spread an can score the ball with any team in the league.
I know the Warriors play almost no defense whatsoever, but I like them to simply outscore the offensively-challenged Timberwolves.
Minnesota averages just 95.4 points per game compared to the Warriors’ 107.3 points per night and I believe the Warriors’ ability to score the ball so easily will be the deciding factor tonight.
Both teams have done well against their conference opponents with Golden State going 4-1 ATS in their last five games against Western Conference ballclubs and Minnesota going a torrid 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games versus Western Conference teams.
The Timberwolves have gone a pitiful 0-7 ATS in their last seven games as a home favorite while the road team in this rivalry has gone a consistent 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
Golden State has several capable scorers that can put the ball in the hole almost at will while the Timberwolves have to rely on a forward (Al Jefferson) that isn’t back to 100 percent after tearing his ACL last season and a rookie point guard that is talented but still learning the ropes.
I like the Warriors for the outright win as the final score plays just Under tonight’s high O/U total.
NBA Expert Picks: Warriors +3 Points/Under 225 Total Points




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