MLB Predictions – Hot Padres Host Brewers Saturday Night

The hot San Diego Padres, who have gone 8 and 2 in their last 10 games, and have won 3 in a row, host the Milwaukee Brewers in the 3rd of their 4 game series on Saturday.

The Padres send pitcher Mat Latos to the mound to take on one of the highest scoring team in MLB. Latos figures to be a slight baseball bet favorite on Saturday even though his stats aren’t all that great. So far in 2010, Latos is 1 and 2 with a 6.20 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP.

Milwaukee puts one of their better pitchers on the mound to face Latos on Saturday. Yovani Gallardo is 2 and 2 with a 3.41 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP. He’s won his last two games, both against the Pittsburgh Pirates, after losing 2 out of his first 3 starts.

Even though Gallardo has better stats than Latos, the Padres have been hot lately. That means that they will most likely go off as the baseball betting line favorite in this game.

Expected Baseball Bet Odds

Milwaukee Brewers
Yovani Gallardo – R +1 ½ -190 +115 O 8 ½ -110

San Diego Padres
Mat Latos – R -1 ½ +160 -135 U 8 ½ -110

The MLB betting trends favor neither team in this game.

• The Milwaukee Brewers are 5 and 1 in Yovani Gallardo’s last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.

• The Milwaukee Brewers are 4 and 1 in their last 5 games on the road.

• The San Diego Padres are 7 and 0 in their last 7 games at home.

• The San Diego Padres are 11 and 2 in their last 13 games overall.

The Padres are hot but Mat Latos faces a seriously good offensive team. In fact, the Brewers are ranked #3 in MLB. They average 5.73 runs per game. As a team, the Brewers have already hit 26 home runs.

The Padres may have set the tone regarding this series, however, when blanketing the Brewers 9 to 0 as -134 favorites. But the pitcher in that game for San Diego, Wade LeBlanc, is very, very good. LeBlanc’s ERA is .52. He was expected to shutdown the Brewers.

Latos isn’t expected to. So, the real question is what Gallardo can do to keep the hot Padres from racking up runs. Gallardo has the ability to do very well against a Padres’ team that’s averaging 4.68 runs per game. If he can keep them to around 4 runs, then the Brewers might have a chance to win this game.

The Brewers should be able to ding Latos for at least 4 and possibly up to 6 runs.

My belief is that Gallardo and the Milwaukee Brewers will go off as slight underdogs in this game. I’m going to make a baseball bet on them to beat the San Diego Padres on Saturday.

MLB Free Pick: Milwaukee Brewers to win