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MLB Betting – Can Padres Take Down Reds as Underdog?

April 23, 2010

Two National League squads from different divisions open an important three-game set tonight in Cincinnati as the first-place San Diego Padres take on the Reds, who are tied for fourth place in the logjam of the NL Central.

Despite the standings, the baseball betting odds have the Padres listed as the MLB betting favorite for tonight’s game which will take place just after 7 p.m.

The game should be the precursor to a competitive series and the Reds probably need to win in this one more than the Padres who have a bit of a cushion so far.

The MLB betting favorite Reds will have an advantage in terms of the baseball betting odds going in as well as the home field advantage.

San Diego Padres (Kevin Correia, R) at Cincinnati Reds (Johnny Cueto, R)

7:05 pm ET, Great American Ballpark, TV 4 San Diego

MLB betting line: Cincinnati favored at -1 ½, -120 SU, Even SU for Padres

Johnny Cueto has had his ups and downs during his short career with the Cincinnati Reds, and he has much to prove for this season.

He started out on fire during his young career last season but he hasn’t been able to live up to that early hype and currently is saddled with an ERA of over 5.

To contrast in the pitching match-up, Kevin Correia has an ERA just over 3 for the Padres and he comes in ready to pitch another gem or at least a quality start from all indications.

The pitching edge has to go to the Padres in this one although it might be slight because Cueto has the talent to pitch well at home.

Thus far the Reds are lucky to be near .500, however, which makes it a bit surprising to see them near .500.

The MLB betting favorite according to the baseball odds only hits 11 th among all NL teams in terms of average and is 15 th in ERA as well.

The MLB betting underdog Padres are the better bet according to pure stats for today, making the baseball odds for the game seem a bit off.

Home field will help the Reds on what should be a great day in Cincinnati weather-wise, but it won’t be enough as the Padres are the better team right now.

MLB betting pick: San Diego Padres (+1 ½), Even money to win SU.

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