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Light NBA Schedule – We Have Your Picks

January 22, 2009

In a match-up of super-powers in the east, NBA champions the Boston Celtics travel south to Orlando to face the Magic tonight. Orlando has won 7 games in row, including defeating all 3 western division leaders in their own house, the Lakers, the Spurs, and the Nuggets. Orlando dominates at home (16-3) thanks in part to strong team defense. They allow less than 90 points per game on average in Orlando and tonight will be a big test. Overall, Orlando is 28-12-1 ATS, 19-22 O/U, and 33-8 SU.

Boston is a strong defensive team as well, and looks to win tough games on the road by locking down the opposition. Boston gives up an average of 91.3 points per game away from home, an impressive number on the road to say the least. Boston is 24-20 ATS, 18-25-1 O/U, and 35-9 SU.

The BetOnline O/U is 192.5 points. In a defensive struggle where the trend suggests that this will be a low scoring affair, I like the under tonight in Orlando.

NBA free pick: BetOnline total under 192.5 points

The only other game tonight has the lowly Washington Wizards traveling to the west coast to face the conference leading Los Angeles Lakers. The Lakers have won 7 of 10 games, while conversely the Wizards have lost 7 of the last 10 games. The Wizards are 9-32 SU, 17-24 ATS, and 16-23-2 O/U. They score 93.5 points per game on the road, and give up 102.4 points per game. The Lakers score a lot at home, averaging 109.0 points and giving up 99.2 points. The BetOnline point spread has the Lakers a favorite by 14 points. The BetOnline combined over/under is208 points. In the 2 teams only other match-up this season, the Lakers beat the Wizards 106-104 as the Lakers failed to cover the spread and the game ended under the BetOnline over/under. The Lakers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite and 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games vs. Eastern Conference opponents. The under is 7-1 in the Wizards last 8 games as an underdog of 11.0 or more, 9-3 in their last 12 road games, and 6-2 in the Wizards last 8 games vs. Western Conference opponents.

NBA free pick: BetOnline total under 208 points, Wizards (+14.0)

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