Jazz at Pacers – Take Utah and the Over
March 10, 2009
The Utah Jazz (40-23 SU, 34-29 ATS, 32-30-1 O/U) have won a whopping, 11 consecutive games in the BetOnline Sportsbook but have gone just 2-3 ATS over their last five contests.
The Indiana Pacers (28-37 SU, 36-27-2 ATS, 37-26-2 O/U) bounced back from a loss in their previous outing to record a solid win the last time they took the court.
The Jazz defeated the struggling Toronto Raptors 109-101 as a 4.5-point favorite on Sunday while the combined score played Over the posted O/U total (205).
All-star point guard Deron Williams scored a team-high 25 points to go along with nine assists for Utah while veteran center Mehmet Okur added 19 points and 11 rebounds in the win.
The Pacers overcame a 15-point halftime deficit to record a 106-105 victory over the L.A Clippers on Saturday despite failing to cover the 4.5-point spread as road favorites while the 211 combined points checked in OVER the posted total of 210.5.
Combo-guard Jarrett Jack led the Pacers with 25 points while veteran frontcourt player Troy Murphy added 22 points in the win.
Here is a look at tonight’s key trends, followed by my in-depth analysis and NBA Betting Free Pick.
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Utah is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Utah is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana’s last 5 games at home
Indiana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana’s last 5 games when playing at home against Utah
Indiana is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
NBA Odds
Utah Jazz -3 -110
Indiana Pacers +3 -110
Over 216 -110
Under 216 -110
Analysis: While the Indiana Pacers have surprised quite a few ballclubs this season, I think this matchup clearly favors the red-hot Utah Jazz, who will not only win this road contest, but win it convincingly. With two fine offenses also taking the floor tonight, I also like the Over in a big way.
NBA Free Picks: Utah Jazz -3 Points/Over 216 Total Points




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