Jacksonville NFL Football Betting Pick to Dominate Redskins

Jacksonville should have no trouble beating the Washington Redskins and covering the football betting spread in the sportsbook on Sunday, Dec. 26th.

The Jaguars are coming off of a disappointing 10-point loss, 34 to 24, to rival Indianapolis. There’s still a chance for Jacksonville to win the AFC South, however, so football fans should expect to the overachieving Jags to really go after the Redskins on Sunday.

Washington, with QB Rex Grossman under center replacing Donovan McNabb, made a furious rally to lose by only 3 points, 30 to 33 to the Dallas Cowboys last week. Can Sexy Rexy bring a “W” (or at least help football handicappers by the covering the spread!) to the ‘Skins in his second straight game as the starter?

Washington Redskins (5-9) at Jacksonville Jaguars (8-6)

Where: EverBank Field, Jacksonville, Florida

When: Dec. 26th, 2010 at 1:00 pm EST

TV: CBS

Radio: Sirius-XM 121 (NYJ) 123 (CHI)

NFL Betting Line

Washington Redskins +7 -110 O 45 -110

Jacksonville Jaguars -7 -110 U 45 -110

The trends favor the Jaguars in this game.

• The Jacksonville Jaguars are 6 and 1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
• The Jacksonville Jaguars are 4 and 0 ATS versus a team with a losing record.
• The Washington Redskins are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS victory.
• The Washington Redskins are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games in December.

Washington looked fantastic this past Sunday when coming back against the Dallas Cowboys but the ‘Skins and ‘Boys always play each other tough. Most NFL football betting odds makers believe that the Redskins are going to bomb versus the Jaguars this Sunday as 67% are willing to give up the points in this one.

I can’t disagree with my peers. After all, the Redskins’ D is ranked 32nd in the NFL this week. The ‘Skins give up, on average, 397.6 yards per game. They allow 263.3 passing yards, 31st in the NFL and 24.5 points per game.

They face one of the more efficient gunslingers in the NFL in Jags’ QB David Garrard. Garrard doesn’t throw for a lot of yards very often but he’s very efficient, sometimes even completing over 70% his passes. He also doesn’t throw that many picks and has a 93.2 QB rating on the season.

Garrard’s effectiveness is almost always dependent upon how well RB Maurice Jones-Drew is running. Jones-Drew is the main reason that the Jags are a touchdown NFL football betting fave in this. MJD was held to only 46 yards rushing versus Indianapolis last Sunday. That broke a streak of 6 straight games where the back has rushed for at least 100 yards.

He figures to get back on the 100-yard rushing train this week versus a Washington D that allows 134.4 yards per game, 27th in the NFL. Washington’s offense is obviously much better with Rexy G. under center than D. McNabb but the ‘Skins, surprisingly, still have trouble rushing the ball. Ryan Torain was held to 53 yards on 11 carries versus Dallas.

Granted, the Redskins found themselves having to throw the ball early on in the game, but their rushing attack only averages 93.9 yards per game.

The real reason that the Jaguars will cover the football betting spread in the sportsbook is because the Jaguars have the better offense and better defense in this game. The Jaguars’ D is by no means awesome, but it did hold Colts’ QB Peyton Manning to only 229 yards and 2 touchdowns. Rex Grossman is no Peyton Manning.

Washington played very well to keep their game versus the Dallas Cowboys close last Sunday, but they face a team that is better than they are this week. The Jaguars are close to being a playoff team. I don’t see them failing to cover versus Washington on Sunday.

NFL Betting Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars -7 -110

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