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How to bet the spread on Super Bowl 44

February 6, 2010

The Big Game is finally upon us and as it gets nearer, we are seeing a fluctuation in the Super Bowl Spread. The Spread started out at 3.5 – 4 and quickly jumped to 5.5 with money coming in on the favored Colts.

But the late money has been pouring in on the Saints and the spread moved back to 4.5, leaving the Saints only slight underdogs.

The see-saw spread gives bettors something to think about. No one really knows who is going to win this game, but give the slight edge to the Colts because of the Saints week 15 meltdown vs the Cowboys.

New Orleans is a high scoring team that can get it done on Offense and Special Teams. The Saints Defense was also the highest scoring Defensive unit in the NFL during the regular season. Consider some other facts like:

  • 3 of the last 6 underdogs that lost the game actually won against the spread and 3 of the last 8 won the game outright. So that means 6 of the last 8 have covered or won outright.
  • Last year, Pittsburgh was a 6 ½-point favorite and only defeated Arizona 27-23.
  • In the last 11 Super Bowls, the favorite has won the game outright on the field eight times. But, those favorites were just 4-3-1 against the point spread in those games.

The Super Bowl Spread is high at the moment and rarely has it been this high. The Saints are a good team and probably relish their role as the underdog. New Orleans has a lot to prove. If they don’t win the game outright, they are a good bet to cover the Super Bowl Spread and gain a little respect at the very least.

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