Horse Racing Handicapping from Aqueduct

October 30, 2009 by admin
Filed under: Horse Racing Betting 

Padding Your Bankroll: Friday October 30

We are down to the final two days of the fall Keeneland meeting, which concludes on Saturday. That gives us a couple of days to sufficiently pad our bankroll for next week’s Breeders’ Cup, the two-day championship event kicking off next Friday at Santa Anita.

More on that next week, today we have a cheap maiden claimer at Aqueduct where it looks like we can make a few bucks.

In addition, we have a Late Pick 3 play at Keeneland that may start chalky in the opening leg, but we have a couple of nice prices to conclude the three race sequence.

Today’s Play of the Day from Aqueduct:

AQU Race 6 Md $25,000 (2:48 ET)

  • #4 Distant Strike 7/2
  • #8 Dukinfield 3/1
  • #1 Tramezzini 10/1
  • #13 New York Bobby 8/1

Analysis: #4 Distant Strike tracked the early pace from the inside, made a move to get into the mix and ran out of gas in the stretch in a fourth place finish, beaten three lengths for the top spot. The effort was off a nine-month layoff and now the hood comes off as he drops into a softer spot here second off the bench for the Brown barn.

#8 Dukinfield is returning off a two-month break, last out coming with a wide run to finish in the runner up spot for a $35K tag. Two back he was fourth behind Courageous Cat, who came back to win a couple of stakes including the Hall of Fame (G2). The colt has a couple of bullet works on the morning tab for his return.

Wagering
WIN: #4 to win at 5/2 or better.
EX: 4,8 / 1,4,8,13
TRI: 4,8 / 1,4,8,13 / 1,4,5,8,10,13

Today’s Pick 3 Play from Keeneland:

Starting in Race 8: $1: 1,10 / 3,6,10 / 3,5,10,12 = $24

KEE Race 7 Alw $54,000N2X (4:05 ET)
#8 Clapham, #1 George’s Cigar

#8 Clapham set the early fractions while down along the inside and weakened to finish third last out on the poly, catching a surface that was playing to outside stalkers and closers. The gelding has only been on turf three times and each was a good effort, a win and a couple of seconds. The gelding was second against $50K foes going a mile on the turf at Mountaineer. Court gets the call and we should catch a decent price on this gelding.

#1 George’s Cigar is making his first start since March for the Nicks barn that is 14% winners (with a +ROI) with horses coming back off a +180 day layoff. The colt was third in his last start at Fair Grounds at this condition. The runner up in that race was True Vindication, who won his next two starts and is now stakes placed. This is not a real tough looking second level allowance condition.

KEE Race 8 Md Sp Wt (4:35 ET)
#1 Dynazaper, #10 Rendition, #11 Toll

#1 Dynazaper tries poly for the first time here after a fourth and fifth place finish in two trips at the Spa. The $300K daughter of Ghostzapper is out of the stakes winner Broad Dynamite ($157K) who has dropped six other foals to race, all winners, top earner Saint Croce ($140K). Last out the filly dueled for the early lead, took over the lead briefly before weakening to finish fifth while beaten just a half-length for the top spot. The fourth place finisher in the race was Alileah, who graduated in her next outing on Oct. 4. She popped a bullet work on Oct. 26 over the poly here. There are several promising firsters in here but looks liken the likely favorite will be tough.

#10 Rendition returns off nearly a three-month break after a fifth place finish at the Spa in a race taken off the turf. Two came out of that race including Tapitsfly, who won the PG Johnson in her next outing on Sept. 3. This filly has a nice pedigree and a $475K price tag. She is by A.P. Indy out of a stakes placed Seeking the Gold mare.

KEE Race 9 Alw $52,000N1X (5:05 et)
#10 Million Seller, #3 Cruisin’nthebridle, #6 Proud Lisa, #2 Altessa

#10 Million Seller gets the nod here in this turf marathon as at least this gal has tired the distance, checking in a non threatening sixth last out at Ky Downs over soft turf. She was second two back going two miles at the Spa in a decent effort. She has a long winded pedigree, by A.P. Indy out of Sunday Silence mare. Motion sends out a pair here and Rose lands on this gal.

#3 Cruisin’nthebridle broke her maiden last out over good ground in her fifth try. She overcame running into traffic while down along the inside on the far turn and finished up well. She is a half to five others that have won on turf including a couple of stakes winners, but I am not sure she has enough pedigree power to handle the extra ground here.

Price Plays From Aqueduct:
These are price plays to watch today. A small win-place wager is in order or if your pockets are deep enough, use these runners in your trifecta and Pick 3 and Pick 4 wagers. One or two of these could be the difference between a regular day at the track and hitting the IRS window with a signer.

  • R1: #2 Bestowed 15/1
  • R4: #1 Previous Pleasure 8/1
  • R4: #7 She’s runnin’ Wild 12/1
  • R5: #4 Well Meant 8/1
  • R6: #1 Tramezzini 10/1
  • R6: #13 New York Bobby 8/1
  • R7: #3 Green harbor 8/1
  • R9: #1 Read the Form / #1a Justgivemeasecond 15/1

Good luck padding your bankroll today!

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