Heat will cover as Road Dogs – Miami at Atlanta

The Miami Heat (42-38 SU, 38-40-2 ATS, 44-35-1 O/U) will look to snap the Atlanta Hawks (46-34 SU, 43-36-1 ATS, 38-40-2 O/U) modest winning streak when they meet on the court at Philips Arena tonight at 7 PM ET in a battle of division rivals.

The Heat defeated the New York Knicks 122-105 as a 6.5-point favorite on Sunday, getting a career-high 55 points from all-star shooting guard Dwyane Wade while the final score played Over the 213-point O/U total.

The Hawks won their third straight game by beating the Indiana Pacers 122-118 on Friday. Atlanta failed to cover the spread for BetOnline NBA betting backers as a 5.5-point home favorite while the final score played well Over the 212.5-point O/U total.

Young center Al Horford recorded a double-double with 22 points and 15 rebounds while high-flying forward Josh Smith scored a team-high 30 points in the win.

Here is a look at tonight’s key trends, followed by my in-depth analysis and NBA Free Picks.

The Heat are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 Tuesday games.

The Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.

The Hawks are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

The Hawks are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite.

The Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

The Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Atlanta.

The Heat are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Atlanta.

The Heat are 20-8 ATS in the last 28 meetings.

NBA Odds

Miami Heat +8 -110

Atlanta Hawks -8 -110

Over 191½ -110

Under 191½ -110

Analysis: While the Atlanta Hawks are playing solid basketball coming into tonight’s contest riding a three-game winning streak the Miami Heat have covered the spread against Atlanta in three of the last five meetings and should be able to do so again tonight with a near double digit point spread in this contest.

None of Atlanta’s last four victories have been by the nine points it would take to cover tonight’s spread and the team just snapped a three-game skid prior to getting on their current streak.

I like the Miami Heat to cover the spread in this contest and move their away ATS record to a dead even 20-20-1.

With both teams scoring the ball pretty well recently, I like tonight’s contest to snap a three-game Under streak between these ballclubs.

NBA Free Picks: Miami Heat +8 Points/Over 191½ Total Points