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Football Betting – Broncos a Disaster Area

December 19, 2010

Football betting aficionados are sitting and watching as the Denver Broncos appear to be a real disaster area, and it apparently doesn’t matter who is coaching the team.

On Sunday the Broncos will experience their third straight road game as they visit the Oakland Raiders in AFC West action that is set to begin at 4:15 PM ET at the Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum (natural turf). The Raiders are a 6.5-point favorite in the football betting odds, with the total on the game listed at 43 points.

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Football Betting

Denver Broncos (3-10 SU, 4-9 ATS) at Oakland Raiders (6-7 SU & ATS)

Live at Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum

Oakland, CA

Sunday, December 19 — 4:15 PM ET

TV: CBS

Football Betting Odds:

Oakland -6.5

Denver +6.5

Total 43

Here are some of the trends as they impact our NFL prediction on this game:

  • Denver has covered two of its last nine games
  • Denver has played 13 of its last 18 games OVER the total
  • Denver has lost eight of its last nine games SU
  • Denver has lost its last five road games SU
  • Denver has covered one of its last five road games
  • Oakland has played four of its last five home games OVER the total
  • Oakland has lost 16 of its last 24 home games SU
  • Oakland has won four of its last six home games SU

Denver’s 43-13 loss to Arizona last Sunday was pitiful. The Broncos had 20 first downs, but only 288 total yards. Kyle Orton threw three interceptions. Denver allowed 211 rushing yards. Seriously, I had to look up the name of Denver’s interim coach to figure out who he was (his name is Eric Studesville). I have a feeling he won’t be around long enough for it to really matter.

If there is some good news for Denver, which has dropped seven of its last nine in the football betting odds, it’s that Knowshon Moreno has come alive. He’s had 242 yards the last two weeks, and 5.2 yards a carry in the last five. That’s the kind of thing that could come in handy against a Raider team that yields 4.6 yards a carry and still hasn’t solved the mystery of opposing running games.

Here are the head-to-head football betting trends that have a bearing on this game:

  • Five of the last seven meetings have gone OVER the total
  • Oakland has won four of the last six meetings SU
  • Denver has won 17 of the last 25 meetings SU
  • Oakland has covered seven of the last nine meetings
  • Denver has won six of the last seven meetings SU as the road team

Orton has gone 28 of 69 in the last two weeks, for only 283 yards, and that is a far cry from the guy who was on a pace to break Dan Marino’s single-season record for yardage after the first four games. Now fans are wondering when they are going to see Tim Tebow get some playing time, and that is a distinct possibility that football bettors should be aware of. At this point, I think the insertion of Tebow for any considerable length of time would be a liability rather than asset.

Denver gave up those 211 yards on the ground to Arizona, a team that has generally been unable to move it that way, and this is a bad sign when going up against Oakland, which may not be great team but not only has been able to win all of its division games, but has the best player on the field in Darren McFadden (993 yards, 5.2 ypc). They hung up 59 point son the Broncos in the first meeting, and in only three quarters; they may not do that again, but they can score the winning points for us over a disorganized Denver club that doesn’t know what the next move is.

JAY’S PLAY: OAKLAND -6.5 **
(Graded on a scale of 1-4 stars)

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