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Diamond Picks – Seattle Mariners at Chicago White Sox

April 27, 2009

Danks, ChiSox, To Take Down M’s, Struggling Jakubauskas – Seattle at Chicago

The Seattle Mariners (12-7 SU, 13-6 RL, 10-9 O/U) and Chicago White Sox (9-9 SU, 10-8 RL, 9-9 O/U) will both be gunning for an SU and RL victory in the BetOnline Sportsbook when they battle at U.S. Cellular Field tonight at 8 PM ET.

The Mariners lost to the Los Angeles Angels 8-0 as a +135 underdog on Sunday while the eight combined runs checked in Under the posted over/under total (9).

The White Sox lost to the Toronto Blue Jays 4-3 as a +140 underdog on Sunday as the seven total runs played Under the posted over/under total (9).

Tonight the Mariners will turn to right-hander Chris Jakubauskas (0-2, 8.31 ERA) who looks to record his first win of the season while the White Sox counter with John Danks (2-0, 0.95 ERA).

Jakubauskas will make his third start of the season after allowing six runs in just 3.1 innings in a 9-3 loss to Tampa Bay on Wednesday.

Danks is seeking a third straight win and is coming off a fine outing in which he limited the Baltimore Orioles to one run over seven innings in an 8-2 victory on Wednesday.

Here is a look at tonight’s key trends, followed by my in-depth analysis and MLB Free Pick.

  • The Mariners are 7-0 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
  • The Mariners are 6-1 in their last 7 road games.
  • The White Sox are 4-0 in Danks’ last 4 starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
  • The White Sox are 4-1 in Danks’ last 5 starts.
  • The Under is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 Monday games.
  • The Under is 4-0 in Danks’ last 4 starts as a favorite.
  • The Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
  • The Mariners are 6-18 in the last 24 meetings in Chicago.
  • The Mariners are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings.

MLB Odds:

  • Seattle Mariners +1½ -120
  • Chris Jakubauskas –R +170
  • Chicago White Sox -1½ Ev
  • John Danks –L -200
  • Over 9 Ev
  • Under 9 -120

Analysis: The White Sox have won three straight and five of six overall against the Mariners dating back to last season, but this is clearly not the same Mariners team from last season.

Still though, the White Sox are the easy pick in this contest with John Danks taking the hill and apparently throwing ‘pea-sized’ pitches this season, allowing just two earned runs over three starts covering 19 innings and Seattle’s Jakubauskas getting pounded in his last start.

Take the White Sox and the Under to double up on your winnings BetOnline MLB sports betting backers.

MLB Free Picks: White Sox -1½ Runs/Under 9 Total Runs

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