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Dallas Mavericks vs. Denver Nuggets – Round 2 Showdown

May 3, 2009

The Dallas Mavericks (50-32 SU, 40-42 ATS, 38-44 O/U) and Denver Nuggets (54-28 SU, 44-37-1 ATS, 42-40 O/U) will both look to get off to a positive start in their second-round Western Conference matchup when they square off at the Pepsi Center at 3:30 PM ET.

The Mavericks advanced to the second round by beating the San Antonio Spurs 4-1 in the first round while going a stellar 4-1 ATS during the series. Dallas won their series finale 106-93 despite playing on the road, covering the spread as 5-point underdogs in the process.

The Nuggets advanced by beating the New Orleans Hornets 4-1 in their first round matchup, covering the spread for BetOnline NBA betting enthusiasts in every single contest, including their 107-86 spanking as 10-point home favorites in Game 5 on Wednesday.

Here is a look at some key trends between the teams, followed by my in-depth analysis and NBA Free Picks.

Denver is 34-23 ATS as a favorite this season.

Denver is 26-17 ATS in home games this season.

Denver is 23-10 ATS on Sunday games over the last 3 seasons.

Dallas is 216-172 ATS as an underdog since 1996.

Dallas is 25-22 against the spread versus DENVER since 1996

Dallas is 33-16 straight up against DENVER since 1996

29 of 48 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996

Denver is 8-3 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons

Denver is 7-4 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons

7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

NBA Odds

Dallas Mavericks +5½ -110

Denver Nuggets -5½ -110

Over 206½ -110

Under 206½ -110

Analysis: The Nuggets swept the season series against the Mavs, winning all four games this season while going an impressive 3-1 ATS while the Under played out in three straight games following an Over outcome in Game 1.

The good news for the Mavericks and BetOnline NBA sports betting enthusiasts who like to back the Mavs as Dallas lost two games to the Nuggets by a mere two points and another by just three points.

While I like the Nuggets to win this game and get their second round matchup off to a positive start, I like the Dallas Mavericks to cover the spread in what promises to be a flat-out thriller for BetOnline NBA Sportsbook betting members everywhere.

I also like the Under to play out for the fourth consecutive meeting as both of these ballclubs get after each other defensively.

NBA Free Picks: Dallas Mavericks +5½ Points/Under 206½ Total Points

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