College Football Sportsbook Odds – Buffalo Finding Its Way

College football sportsbook customers know that the Buffalo Bulls are having a hard time finding their way after the departure of Turner Gill. On Saturday they will try to pick up their second win of the season as they visit the Huskies of Connecticut in action that is slated to begin at Noon ET at Rentschler Field (natural turf) in Hartford, CT. The odds in the college football sportsbook have the Huskies laying 20.5 points at home, with the total on the game standing at 47 points.

Buffalo Bulls (1-2 SU, 0-2 ATS) at Connecticut Huskies (1-2 SU, 0-2 ATS)

Live at Rentschler Field

Hartford, CT

Saturday, September 25 — Noon ET

TV: SportsNet New York

College Football Odds:

Connecticut -20.5

Buffalo +20.5

Total 47

Buffalo’s football program was making some progress. The Bulls, who were being brought along by former Nebraska quarterback Turner Gill, won a division title in the MAC in 2008 and appeared in the International Bowl, the school’s one and only bowl game. Drew Willy, the veteran starter at quarterback, graduated and this team went through a year of inconsistency from Zach Maynard, posting a 4-6-1 record against the college football sportsbook odds. Then Gill, who had wanted the Nebraska job that went to Bo Pellini instead, took the head job at Kansas, and it was time to start over again.

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In stepped Jeff Quinn, who had been the offensive coordinator at Cincinnati, and he brought the Bearcats’ spread over with him. This team has not been so quick to catch on. It has been painful to watch at times, with smallish sophomore QB Jerry Davis struggling against major college competition, completing less than 43% of his passes the last two weeks. As a result, the Bulls have dropped those two games (against Baylor and Central Florida) in the college football sportsbook odds.

Here are some of the NCAAF betting trends as they impact our football betting prediction on this game:

• Buffalo is 12-4-1 ATS in its last 17 road games
• Buffalo has lost four of its last six road games SU
• Buffalo has played eight of its last 12 road games OVER the total
• Connecticut has won five of its last seven games SU
• Connecticut has won five of its last six home games SU

….and some of the head-to-head betting trends that involve the odds in the college football sportsbook:

• Connecticut has won and covered the last five meetings
• Connecticut has won four of the last five meetings SU as the home team

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Connecticut has not done well itself against Division I foes. In the opener at Ann Arbor, Michigan’s Denard Robinson ran all over this team, and the Huskies never got in the game. After a 62-3 breather against Texas Southern, U-Conn failed to spring to life against Temple, as Bernard Pierce had 169 yards and two scores.

Needless to say, that was a dreadful loss in the college football sportsbook. But in that game, Connecticut got 192 yards from Jordan Todman, and that’s no fluke, as he had 1188 yards last year as a sophomore. This is important to note in making our football betting prediction, because QB Zach Fraser, the Notre Dame transfer, has not thrown an interception in a while – 125 attempts, as a matter of fact. The Huskies can control the ball and won’t give Buffalo a lot of cheap chances, which, considering the way Davis has come along, limits what Buffalo can do. Connecticut has won and covered the last five meetings in this series, and has beaten Buffalo by an average of 27 points over that time. We’d like to be able to take the points here, but Buffalo is not a live dog, and there is no magic Quinn can work there. Lay the points with U-Conn, favored by 20.5 points in the college football sportsbook for Saturday.

JAY’S PLAY: CONNECTICUT -20.5 **

(Graded on a scale of 1-4 stars)