College Football Game Lines – Nevada Looks to Rebound

The college football game lines are pretty hefty this week in Reno, where the Wolf Pack of Nevada look to rebound from their only loss of the season and the loss of its national ranking, so it could be angry club that lines up to host the Utah State Aggies on Saturday night at Mackay Stadium (artificial turf). Game time is 10:30 PM ET. Nevada is a 26-point home favorite in the college football game lines, with the total on the contest posted at 60 points.

Utah State Aggies (2-5 SU, 2-4 ATS) at Nevada Wolf Pack (6-1 SU, 3-3 ATS)

Live at Mackay Stadium
Reno, NV
Saturday, October 30 — 10:30 PM ET
TV: ESPNU

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College Football Game Lines:

Nevada -26
Utah State +26
Total 60

Here are some of the trends as they might impact our football betting advice on this game:

• Utah State has covered one of its last five games
• Utah State has lost four of its last five games SU
• Utah State has played four of its last five games UNDER the total
• Utah State has lost 15 of its last 16 road games SU
• Utah State has played six of its last eight road games UNDER the total
• Nevada has won six of its last seven games SU
• Nevada has played four of its last six games UNDER the total
• Nevada has won nine of its last ten home games SU

Key stats for Utah State — The Aggies have scored 19.6 points per game, which is just 101st in the nation. There is no individual rusher among the top 100 in the country. Quarterback Diondre Borel has completed just 54% of his passes with five TD’s. Utah State’s defense, which has been hurt by injuries, allows 168 yards a game on the ground, as well as 4.7 yards an attempt, and those numbers are important as they try to beat the powerful Nevada infantry, at least with the college football game lines.

Key stats for Nevada — The Wolf Pack ranks sixth in the country in rushing, with almost 289 yards a game. Vai Taua is seventh in the nation with 132.6 yards a game, and Colin Kaepernick is one of a number of quarterbacks who gets the job done on the ground (669 yards) and through the air (68%, 1480 yards). Nevada is scoring a shade under 40 points a game. They’re 33rd in rushing defense and 31st in pass efficiency defense.

Here are some of the head-to-head trends that may influence the college football game lines:

• Utah State has covered four of the last six meetings
• Nevada has won the last five meetings SU
• Four of the last five meetings have gone UNDER the total

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Nevada occasionally underachieves when away from home. We’ll bring up one example when they allowed UNLV to stay in the game, and the fact that they took a knee at the end when on the two-yard line was probably evidence enough that "style points" didn’t mean all that much to Chris Ault, and they failed to get us the cover in the college football game lines. However, after the latest road disappointment, all bets are off (well, figuratively speaking) on that one. When you lose your first game and your national ranking in a game (with Hawaii) where you have coughed the ball up four times, but you’re still not far out of a spot in the Top 25, that may provide quite a bit of incentive for Nevada to look extra strong.

Nevada likes these situations, as the Pack has covered 20 of the last 25 as a home favorite in college football game lines, so they are no strangers to extending a margin in Reno. That’s what has happened the last two times Utah State has visited the Biggest Little City in the World, as they have been outscored by a total of 86-17. This was going to be a year when Gary Andersen’s Aggies become a contender to go tot a bowl game, but injuries have just killed them. They have been on both sides of the ball, and that has, in turn, affected the special teams. They are in such bad shape, and have been so run down on the defensive side that two teams who aren’t known for using the run as a featured part of their offense – Louisiana Tech and Hawaii – averaged a combined 6.4 yards a carry with 496 yards against them. What do you think is going to happen when facing the mighty Pistol? A big win for us in the college football game lines, that’s what.

JAY’S PLAY: NEVADA -26 ***
(Graded on a scale of 1-4 stars)

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