College Football Futures – Who Will Have The Most Receiving Yards?

When examining the college football futures before the season starts, here’s a preview and prediction of who will have the most receiving yards in the 2010 season.

In an attempt to find the most prolific yard-consuming receiver in all of major college football (the FBS level), one can’t just look at the raw quality of a given list of contenders. One must look at the teams, conferences, quarterbacks, and offensive styles that surround the nation’s best pass catchers.

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College Football Futures:

• AJ Green +550
• DeAndre Brown +450
• DeVier Posey +1500
• Greg Little +1000
• James Rodgers +600
• Jon Baldwin +600
• Julio Jones +700
• Leonard Hankerson +700
• Michael Floyd +500
• Nick Toon +700
• Ryan Broyles +450
• Terrance Tolliver +1500

A.J. Green of Georgia is in a situation where he’s going to be receiving passes from a brand-new quarterback, freshman Aaron Murray. That simple fact is almost surely going to cut into Green’s production in 2010.

When Matthew Stafford was around in 2007 and 2008, Green flourished, but the revolving door at the quarterback position in subsequent years has made it harder for Green to display the full measure of his talents.

DeAndre Brown of Southern Miss is a guy who is poised to come up big this year. He plays in Conference USA, a wild and wacky pass-happy league with a coach – Larry Fedora – who likes to throw the ball a lot. Southern Mississippi will engage in shootouts, and that will help Brown’s numbers.

DeVier Posey of Ohio State will make impact plays, but the Buckeyes run the ball too much for him to lead the nation in receiving yards.

Greg Little plays for a North Carolina team that also doesn’t throw the ball that well or that often. UNC hangs its hat on defense.

James Rodgers of Oregon State is a terrific receiver, but Oregon State’s offense is too balanced for him to post phenomenal numbers.

Jon Baldwin of Pittsburgh could very well win this race. He’s great at catching deep balls, and he’ll be playing on a loaded team that’s the Big East favorite. However, Baldwin also has a new quarterback this year, and that will hurt him.

Julio Jones should be an outstanding receiver this year, probably the Biletnikoff Award front-runner. However, Alabama likes to run the ball under Nick Saban, which means the yardage title should elude Jones’ grasp.

Leonard Hankerson will be a very good receiver for Miami, but with lots of good defenses residing in the ACC Coastal Division and the consistency of quarterback Jacory Harris being (rightly) doubted, Hankerson might emerge only in spots, and not on each and every Saturday in 2010.

Michael Floyd will make a lot of plays for Notre Dame, but the Irish are not yet good enough that they can impose their will on opponents with the passing game. Floyd is also not the jump-ball winner former teammate Golden Tate proved to be. Floyd will be extremely productive, but he won’t be a yardage leader.

Nick Toon of Wisconsin will help out veteran quarterback Scott Tolzien in Badger offense that should be quite well-rounded, but Wisconsin passing offenses rarely get into the shootouts that feed monster offensive numbers.

Toon is yet another receiver who – like James Rodgers, Julio Jones, and Michael Floyd – will be really good for his team but not zoom to the top of the charts with respect to raw statistics.

Ryan Broyles is a man who could crack the top three of this list. Oklahoma should be a very good passing team in 2010 after quarterback Landry Jones gained extensive experience last season. Broyles can and will catch long balls, something that will improve his statistical profile.

Terrance Toliver is an athletic and speedy receiver, but since LSU’s quarterback situation is one unending train wreck, this gifted performer won’t see the light of day in this receiving yards race.

All in all, take Brown first because of the Conference USA factor. Baldwin will be second and Broyles third.

NCCA Football Betting Pick: Brown +450